Minor League Ball Q&A
Over at Minor League Ball, John Sickels made a trip to watch some AFL action last week. He addresses a couple of Tigers prospects in the comments in this post. I know it's a lot to sift through, but there's also useful commentary about other AL prospects, too.
2 months ago
allikazoo
6 comments
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There are also a few comments about some of the Cubs prospects that are being mentioned as part of any possible Curtis Granderson trade, if that interests you.
by Ian Casselberry on Nov 14, 2009 8:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I didn't even realize that!
I’ll have to look again. I was particularly interested in all the comments about Tanner Scheppers, but I guess that’s just because I’m kind of a Rangers fan, and he’s from the same city in California I lived in. should be interesting if he winds up in the majors this year.
by allikazoo on Nov 14, 2009 11:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Vitters, Castro, Cashner, etc.
by Ian Casselberry on Nov 15, 2009 1:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
there's another thread now
here, since the one I linked to was getting long.. he doesn’t have anything good to say about Iorg. ouch. heh
by allikazoo on Nov 17, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
My quick comments on some Cubs prospects as a Cubs fan
Starlin Castro – Probably the top Cubs prospect right now, the hype’s getting a bit ridiculous. I hope he reaches the high end potential, but I’m not going to be sitting around expecting it. He’s exceptionally young, having jumped from AZL to A+/AA this year. He makes good contact with the bat and has strong wrists. There’s expectation of some power as he fills out, but that’s projection. He committed some errors this year at Daytona, although expectations are that his glove will be fine. He’s not awful in the discipline department, but he definitely could use some work. There’s been glowing reports about his ability to handle pitches. An exciting shortstop talent, but a lot of projection with the bat. BA called him a potential AS shortstop at midseason.
Josh Vitters – The Cubs top prospect entering the year, and a top 50 guy in most lists, he had a streaky year. A hot streak early in Peoria of the MWL really garnered some midseason hype for him and boosted his stats. He’s got a beautiful swing and makes good contact. He loves BP. That said, his discipline is horrible. It isn’t only taking walks – he doesn’t take many pitches per plate appearance (3.2 or 3.3 this year, read that somewhere). Just bad. He struggled when he moved up to A+, but he was injured. That said, that’s another red flag, as he’s been nicked up once or twice every year (was hurt in AFL recently). There’s been some questioning of how his power will play against tougher pitchers. The final issue is defense. While he has made improvements since being drafted, he’s still a work in progress with a somewhat scattershot arm. Footwork is a work in progress as well. There’s a lot of red flags, but if the discipline improves and his power plays, then he’s very intriguing and could fit at 1st or maybe LF.
Andrew Cashner – Cubs first round pick in 08 (Wilken really loved him, drafted him in 07 as well), Cashner was a former starter in college early on that went to the pen in his final season, where his stuff took off. After a late start in 08, he was more ready in 09. He started at Daytona, where he was fairly solid. A bump up to Tennessee (AA) caused him some problems. He has a plus-plus fastball by most accounts. The problem this year was that his slider consistency slipped. It’s a potential plus slider, but it wasn’t on as much this year. His changeup is a work in progress, and as a starter, he didn’t go long (5 innings or so, reports that his stuff fell off big time the further he went). The Cubs are likely to investigate the starting again as long as possible. I question if he’s a starter, personally, despite the strides this year. As a pen arm, he might be close to ready. If his slider is on, he can be devastating is he’s allowed to reach back and rip it.
I’ll try to add some more guys later. Some other names that could be in the mix would be (the rest of the Cubs top tier for me): Jay Jackson, Brett Jackson, Hak-ju Lee, Chris Carpenter (random order as well). There’s some stopgap pieces that might be “filler” to make a trade happen.
I’ve noted on BCB my personal take on a trade – I’d love to get Curtis Granderson, as he’s as close to a perfect fit as there is this offseason for us, but I’m not willing to sell the farm. I have no clue what Hendry is willing to do. My gut feeling is that Castro might be off-limits, as there are indications that the Cubs are planning for Castro in the bigs in the near future (2011 at latest … this is assuming all goes well). I’d be more than willing to give 2 of the rest of our top 6 guys and a whole host of stopgap/filler/pen/bench assets. 3 would make me cringe. REason being, as good as Granderson is, I’m not sure CG alone is the difference for this club from last year’s struggles and the success 2 years ago.
Got a lot of interesting feedback in the other thread. I honestly have no idea why you’d shop CG. I still feel that the team as is can be competitive in the AL Central, and as others have noted, the cost of replacing CG will eat into any saving s that moving his contract might create. Add in a passable defensive shortstop and dig up a pen arm or two and hope you get lucky, and this team could be at the top of the AL central. The only reason I can fathom for DD pondering this idea is that his view on 2010 isn’t that high, and that he’s hoping to restock big time and use the cleared up money after 2010 to rebuild quickly.
by toonsterwu on Nov 15, 2009 7:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
filling in some others
if anyone’s interested. Just my take. I’m sure there’s more knowledgeable folks out there that can speak to these guys.
Jay Jackson – A personal favorite, the 9th round pick from 2008 was a 2-way player in college. A very good athlete, the Cubs drafted him as a pitcher. At the time he was drafted, there were positive reports on his character, work ethic, and in general, the off-field, non-baseball aspects looked good. (more on that later). He burst up the Cubs system last year, with quick stops in the lower levels, ending the year on Daytona’s, FSL championship squad. In a mild surprise to some, the Cubs bumped him to AA to start 2009. After a slow 3 game start, he got on a solid roll and for a couple months, was one of the better pitchers in the Southern League. Then, his control collapsed, and then he got demoted for off-field issues. I’m hopeful that the character issue was one of youth, and not a serious flaw, but it was disappointing. More disappointing was the fact that, in getting bumped back to A+, we didn’t get to find out, as fans, how seriously we should judge the control issues. That was because his stuff was simply too good for A+, and he dominated there. The Cubs called him up to AAA Iowa for one start to end the year. Jackson features a low-mid 90’s fastball (slightly up from last year), with a plus curveball. There’s a solid slider, and a usable change, but one that needs more work. There are, as of now, no serious delivery mechanical or delivery issues. There’s some ironing out to do (and still some believe that, if he cleans stuff out, he might gain a tiny tick more on the fastball). The control’s the concern. Former Cubs farmhand Donald Veal was never able to figure it out. I don’t think of it as a serious issue, but that may be biased from when I saw him pitch. Jay Jackson was rated the 11th best prospect by BA this year, in a loaded Southern League class.
Hak-ju Lee – The Cubs big international signing from a couple years back (750 grand), the South Korean (one of several in the Cubs system) has loads of tools. He had a solid year, showing an advanced approach at the plate (for his age, imo). There’s not much power, but some expect some natural power to develop as he physically matures. The bigger issue is that, while he’s a big shortstop, and while he’ll grow some more, he might not be able to generate more power unless he revamps his swing, which is more of a balanced, get on base approach. Think Ichiro I guess (remember, many folks always thought that Ichiro could hit more home runs if he simply wanted to). Actually, a minor league offensive comp I make is Che-Hsuan Lin (see minorleaguesplits and Lin’s adjusted line, granted, all minor league stats should be taken with a grain of salt). He has enough discipline at his age to be excited about, he makes good contact. Esteemed Cubs minor league online guru, AzPhil, over at thecubreporter, once said that Hak-ju Lee was faster than Tony Campana, and Tony Campana is blazing fast. For the most part, he plays a solid shortstop and has a good arm, although there’s consistency issues. In fact, he could actually be a better shortstop defensively (projection-wise) than Starlin Castro. He could work at 2nd, and in my Cubs fantasy, if Lee can’t force Castro out of short, he takes over in CF.
Chris Carpenter – The Kent State alum was always a highly touted arm, but injuries and durability have been a question mark. He started this year at Peoria, where he dominated, but showed some small control problems. He got bumped up to Daytona, and after doing well, was moved up to Tennessee when Jay Jackson was demoted. He stayed healthy (nothing major) through most of the year. At his best, there’s a fb that tops out in the mid-90’s to go with a strong curve and solid change. A very knowledgeable Cubs fan has made the case that Carpenter has the best starting stuff of the Cubs top 3 pitching prospects (Jay Jackson and Andrew Cashner), and the more I think about it, the more I agree.
Brett Jackson – Cal alumnus was the first round pick of the Cubs this year. While he had a strong year, a lot of people questioned his bat due to the high number of strikeouts in college, and that probably was a big reason as to why such a toolsy OF was selected late in the first. Brett Jackson is what you think of when you ponder a Tim Wilken draft pick. Toolsy, up the middle player. He started off by raking in Boise, and ended the year at Peoria. There was a small injury, nothing serious from what I recall but it’s been a couple months. What I liked was that he showed that he could handle the bat very well. I liked the pick when it was made, largely because I wanted to see more upside in the system, but I admittedly had some questions if this would be another Tyler Colvin. So far, Brett Jackson shows far better potential. That said, he still struck out quite a bit, so more work is needed. At his best, he could hit for above average home run power while stealing some bases and playing a strong CF.
That’s, in my opinion, the Cubs top 7 prospects. There’s other intriguing guys, like power OF Kyler Burke, middle infielders DJ LeMahieu, Logan Watkins, Ryan Flaherty, C Welington Castillo (not a need for you guys and generates a mixed review from Cubs fans, and some intriguing arms, but arms with question marks (like Dae-Eun Rhee, working his way back from injury).
by toonsterwu on Nov 15, 2009 10:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs















