Detroit Tigers burning questions: It's baaaack
Over the weekend in the Detroit News, Lynn Henning's latest piece was 5 questions in regard to the current state of the Detroit Tigers in what's been a controversial off season. After reading Henning's Q & A, I decided it's as good of a time as any to dust off one of my old bits.
Back when I was writing about baseball regularly at TWFE, before I took my blog over to the dark side (that being the Detroit Lions, what was I thinking?), one of my more popular recurring posts was "Burning questions."
I'd fisk the Q & A of a local beat writer or columnist, and answer their own questions in my own inimitable way.
The usual suspects in the MSM should take heed ... It's baaaack.
Who fills the bullpen holes?
Henning seems sold on Jose Valverde. Yes, signing him would be a solid addition at the back end of the bullpen, and he has had success as a closer in the recent past.
But … there’s always a but, right?
As Kurt so adroitly pointed out when the Tigers’ interest in Valverde became public, after trading Curtis Granderson and Edwin Jackson, and getting plenty of relief arms as part of the return, "why would they give up a draft pick and forfeit the payroll savings by paying what it would cost to sign Valverde?"
Why, indeed.
Spending big money on a closer flies in the face of what the Tigers have done up to this point of the off season. The big trade was supposedly made to allow the Tigers to get better in the long term, younger in the short term and cheaper immediately. Especially cheaper, even if the Tigers' brass won't come out and say it.
I’m thinking the Tigers’ top priorities in finding a closer are as follows:
- How much money does he make?
- See number 1.
So this is why I believe the Tigers will attempt to fill the "holes" in-house. Daniel Schlereth, Ryan Perry and yes, Joel Zumaya, appear to be the most likely candidates. They all have shown to have closer stuff, and more importantly, are already under Tigers control with affordable contracts.
More questions, and my answers ... after the jump.
Can the Tigers entrust center field to Austin Jackson?
Henning hypothesizes Austin Jackson isn't quite ready, yet leaves Lakeland with the job, but is sent back down to Toledo much sooner than later. That’s not going to fly with a fan base ready to vent their spleens from the stands, feeling betrayed by the trade of the face of the franchise.
The Tigers have put the kid into one Hell of a spot. Despite never playing in a major league game, Jackson is being asked to anchor the outfield defense playing between a pair of gimpy corner outfielders who should be DHing, and supply respectable offense while replacing the most loved Tiger player since Al Kaline. It wouldn’t surprise me one bit if Jackson cracks under the pressure like Rick Porcello cracked Kevin Youkilis’ skull.
So to answer the question, no.
I’m not saying Jackson will ultimately fail in Detroit. I am saying don’t be surprised if he doesn’t take the CF job and run with it this season. Jackson will get more than one chance to take over center, as Dave Dombrowski’s future depends on it.
Will the Tigers actually play Carlos Guillen in left field?
Jeebus, I hope not.
Carlos Guillen is a danger to himself, and the Tigers’ chances of winning games, if left to his own devices in the outfield.
I actually agree with Henning as to who should be in left. Ryan Raburn may not be the best fielding outfielder in the AL, but he’s far, far better than Guillen. Raburn played well enough in ’09 to have the inside track on left this year…before Guillen bellyached to the press about playing the field. As for Guillen, regardless of what he believes, his body and outfield glove have proven to be so frail, I can’t see him playing any other position than DH.
In order for the Tigers to get any sort of return from what’s left of Guillen’s hefty contract, he must stay healthy. He has proven that’s too much to ask if forced wear a glove. Even if it’s an affront to his manhood (which is the impression I got from his demands to play defense), Guillen is best used as a full-time DH.
And there’s nothing wrong with that…just ask Edgar Martinez.
Will there be enough pitching to pull off a pre-Opening Day trade?
Is Henning serious? His piece went to print, so he must be.
Let's humor him, and see who might the Tigers be eager to unload.
There’s Jeremy Bonderman, who hasn’t been healthy for 2 years, and is owed $12.5 million. Dontrelle Willis, who hasn’t been effective for 2 years, and has a contract big enough to make even the Yankees and Red Sox gag at $12 million. There’s also Nate Robertson, who hasn’t been healthy or effective for 2 years, and is making $10 million. Let's not forget Armando Galarraga, who isn’t making stupid money, but his solid 2008 season is proving to be the career exception, not the rule.
To paraphrase one of Dombrowski's most famous quotes, "YOU try and trade them!"
If the Tigers can get any sort of useful player in return for damaged goods, Dave Dombrowski will lock up the executive of the year award in March. If a miracle occurs, and one of the overpaid and underperforming players pitch well in the spring, and into the eyes of other GMs, it’s not as if the Tigers are set in the rotation.
As the rotation stands today, after Justin Verlander, Rick Porcello and Max Scherzer the Tigers should hope for two days of rain.
If there is enough pitching to make a trade before opening day, I’ll eat my Tigers cap.
Will the Scott Sizemore experiment go smoothly at second base?
Henning gives a non-answer, saying, "It better."
After thinking about it long and hard, I have to say … it better.
The Tigers are walking the 2nd base high wire without a net, having left themselves no fallback if Scott Sizemore can’t fill the immense (Feel free to insert a "Placidome has a large noggin" joke here) cap of Placido Polanco.
Going by Sizemore’s performance in the minors, it’s time he got his shot. After letting your showing signs of decline, but still solid at the plate and gold glove worthy in field, 2nd sacker walk in free agency, there’s no better time find out if Sizemore’s ready.
If so, then great! All is well, and the Tigers are set on the right side of the infield for the next several years. If not, then the Tigers are up the proverbial creek, hoping Ramon Santiago can paddle like mad.
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It's good to have you back writing about the Tigers, Al!
All your favorite Tigers blog are belong to me.
Bless You Boys.com -- MackAvenueTigers.com
Agreed, it is great to have you writing on the Tigers.
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.
If Sizemore is dependable with the glove, I'll be satisfied
not necessarily Polanco-esque, just not Gullien-esque. I don’t expect much hitting from this group anyway.
Back off man, I'm a scientist
Check it out, I blog too!
Hockeytown USA
Starting pitching
The hope isn’t so much that you’re going to have an extra pitcher to trade. It’s that you’re going to have 5 healthy guys pitching near the peak of their abilities, to cover for the holes in the batting lineup and bullpen.
Fight for The Only Colors: Green and White!
by KJ@theonlycolors on Jan 10, 2010 5:06 PM EST reply actions
what Dave Dombrowski needs
Is the baseball version of Mike Milbury. That would solve all his trade issues.
Unfortunate that such a creature does not seem to exist. :(
"While there's life, there's hope." --Cicero
Thanks for mentioning
the Youk Slammer. Freaking tied the greatest moment for me last year with Granderson’s catch.
by Fien SHOULD CLOSE on Jan 10, 2010 7:18 PM EST reply actions
As I shared with some of
my fellow BYB’ers at our gathering. I think there is a plan devised For Carlos. ( And no I am not a conspiracy theorist type)
Somewhere between the time Carlos went public with his whining and the time Jim Leyand called him, I believe another phone conversation took place. Yes another conversation… One between DD and Jim Leyland and it went something like this…
“Hey JIm this is Dave” said Dave
“Hey Dave, what’s up?” asked Jim
“You know that situation developing with Carlos, right.? You realize at some point you’re going to have to talk with him before it spins out of control?” asked Dave
“I know, Dave. Carlos has been a giant pain in the ass about the whole every day play thing.” said Jim. “What do you think we should do about it?”
“How about this, We give him the LF position ‘every day’ and in side of a month he’ll be injured and probably be on the DL for a good part of the season, and then we can get a real player out there. What’d ya think?” said Dave, sounding pleased with his plan.
“Haha, That sounds like a good idea. Because we all know that the games in the first half don’t mean as much as the second half. So would you want in LF to replace him, Dave?” Jim was delighted because he caught onto the idea so fast.
“Meh, we’ll talk about that later. Anybody we throw out there will do a better job than Carlos. We’ll worry about that later. So, go ahead and give Carlos a call and promise him that LF position so he shuts up. I am expecting you to handle this one, Jimmy.” said Dave, hanging up the phone.
Next…..
“Hello, Carlos, this is Jim Leyland, we need to talk…..”
The end
Funny
I agree to a certain extent. Most of us know that Guillen will be injured by the time all of the snow is melted in Traverse City if he plays the field. And with his lack of production last year, I can’t say I’m bothered by this. I’ve come to accept Guillen as a nice memory rather than potential production. However, I would have to say that the Tigers’ brass would prefer to keep their only lefty regular healthy if possible. I have no idea how it will play out, but it will be interesting to watch. My guess is that, after Leyland’s public statements regarding Guillen’s job status, Guillen is playing LF in March. If things go well, then he’ll still be there in April. If not, we get to watch Raburn misplay flies.
I agree, Al....
Jackson is walking into an impossible situation. I think we see a cast of thousands in center, which will include Jackson, but also Raburn, Wells, and Clete. Trying to just walk in and replace Grandy is way too big a chore for most any major league player right now, and for a guy who doesn’t have a single day in the majors, it’s probably not possible.
Grandy
covered a lot of ground out there. We have the biggest OF in the AL. It’s going to take a hell of a player to do what Curtis did out there.
by Detroitchik on Jan 10, 2010 10:15 PM EST up reply actions
from everything i've seen
there’s really no reason to worry about Jackson in the outfield.
It’s Jackson at the plate that is a bit more worry.
All your favorite Tigers blog are belong to me.
Bless You Boys.com -- MackAvenueTigers.com
by Kurt Mensching on Jan 10, 2010 10:21 PM EST up reply actions
Kurt
I will most always take your word for it. If you say he can do it, then maybe he can. I will always defer (well most times) to those who know more about the technical things than me. But I have been known to let my “feelings” take over from time to time. As we all well know.
by Detroitchik on Jan 10, 2010 10:43 PM EST up reply actions
and combine that worry with....
Inge at the plate, Laird at the plate, Everett at the plate, oh, hell, that’s enough.
Agreed
Scouting reports all have this guy playing a quality, although not spectacular, CF. If he’s hitting .225 with 2K’s for every 5 AB’s, I’m worried about his status because the rest of the offense won’t be able to support that.
If would be nice if we have the luxuy of hitting him in lower in the lineup. If he’s batting #9 behind Everitt and Laird, fan expectations will drop dramatically compared to the #1 spot. It’s too bad you only get to have one #9 hitter!
That pic of Guillen...
is the picture in my mind when I imagine Guillen in left. The ball getting by him and Guillen doing something stupid afterward.
So just to kinda put my own answers to the questions:
1) Jose Valverde: Don’t sign him. Makes no sense in anyway except to spoil a trade of a favorite player.
2) While Austin Jackson may be the favorite for the CF position but there will be plenty of competition for it. No matter what the competition will make whoever ends up with the job much better prepared for the shoes they will have to fill.
3) Carlos Guillen is not a guy you want playing defense. When healthy Guillen is a mediocre defender but only when he can pay attention. Lets just think about the fact that Guillen is never healthy anymore. He’s a DH right now. Someones else should get the job and even though Leyland already said Guillen has the job, I don’t think he’ll have the job for long.
4) Pitching. Better question is will there be enough starting pitching? Answer, probably not because it rides upon to many variables. Can Bonderman be like the old Bonderman before the surgery? Which one of Armando’s season’s was the fluke? The good one or the bad one? Can Dontrelle ever not suck in a Tigers room? Lots of questions and not enough clear or even semi-conclusive answers to make this answer even close to a yes.
5) Yes. My gut reaction. I don’t know if anybody here loved Polly more than me, but my gut reaction to this question says that the kid will do fine filling his shoes. (it’s just filling Polly’s helmet that he may have trouble doing. Polly had a big head)
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Eh
I don’t really buy into the idea of payroll savings. They traded Curtis Granderson, because they saw more in Phil Coke, Austin Jackson, and Dan Schlereth than they did in Curtis Granderson.
As for Valverde, Dombrowski always said that closers are icing on the cake. I don’t think we really need said icing, since we’ve got three young potential closers already. I’m gonna chalk this one up to gamesmanship; driving interest up in pieces he doesn’t need (how many times did we see Chicago snap someone up because it seemed we showed interest in them?). I dunno, maybe he’s hoping the White Sox will sign a third closer.
Argh
I hate to say it, but the White Sox already have three closers in Thornton, Putz, and Jenks. I’m still a fan of signing Valverde, if we can get him for a one year, $7-$8 million deal. Though that may sound crazy, I say that because at this point, that’s probably the only move we have left, and I think we could still have a chance to win the division this year. Plus, and this is important, if Valverde performs up to his normal standards, we would get the ‘A’ pick back next season when he walks as a free agent, then turn over the closer job to Perry/Zumaya/Schlereth.
Again, I don’t see any problems spending the money on a one year deal and hoping to get the pick back, because the alternative is probably nothing big happening.
A lifelong Tigers fan
Draft Pick
I’m not draft pick compensation professor by a long shot, but I think you only get the compensation pick if you offer arb. and it is declined. That’s why the Tigers don’t get a pick for Polly leaving. If the Tigers were worried about Polly accepting, they should probably worry even more about Valverde accepting, especially after seeing that in the 09-10 off-season, closers only got 1 or 2 year offers.
If’ I’m Valverde, making 7M for the Tigers, and choosing between the weak market again and arbitration that usually insures a raise, I’ll take the raise. Next season is probably the season that the team can realistically expect an in-house option to do a good job as closer.
That's very true
But food for thought, he was offered and declined arbitration this year. I think it would be a huge mistake to sign him and then not offer him arbitration.
A lifelong Tigers fan
Unless you're a die-hard member of the Cult . . .
. . . a serviceable left-handed batter capable of playing a corner OF position is what the Tigers most need. Veteran closers are overrated—the chances of Valverde having a better year at closer than any of the Tigers internal options aren’t worth $6 million.
I’d hate to see them sign anyone right now I think wells is a viable option in center or left as well as rayburn play the kids and give the money to verlander
This
President, Vice President and Secretary of the Casey Crosby Fanclub.
by David Tokarz on Jan 12, 2010 9:15 PM EST up reply actions
Popularity
I think a certain #3 might have been the most popular Tiger since Kaline with all due respect to Granderson. Even with a miserable managing record, Tram is hands down my and I believe many others choice as the “most popular Tiger since Al Kaline.” I love what you guys do and read you daily, but I have to respectfully disagree with that overstatement. But you finally got me to post!

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