What Could Have Been (2010 MLB Draft Prospects Lost)
Hello BYB, I am new here, and this is my first FanPost, so feel free to comment, rip apart, etc.
With the recent signing of Jose Valverde, a Type A free agent, the Tigers lost more than just money. They lost what could have been a key piece in their future. Of course, I'm talking about the first round draft choice in the 2010 MLB Draft that the Tigers gave away as compensation to the Houston Astros. A couple months ago, I compiled a list of prospects that could have been slotted into the #19 pick of the first round; alas, it is not to be so. The Tigers do not have that pick, but instead of throwing the prospect list away in disgust, I thought I would share my thoughts on some top players in the 2010 MLB Draft.
I apologize in advance for typos, seemingly incoherent thoughts, and the length of this post.
Realistic (And Some Unrealistic) Looks at How to Deal with the (former) #19, #42, #46
Pick of the 2010 Draft
<Name, Position, School, B/T>
*Independent Leagues/ JuCo*
Bryce Harper, C/ Superman, College of Southern Nevada, L/R
I threw him into the mix for kicks. He is probably the No. 1 pick, but he may fall out of that spot due to money issues. By now, his scouting report is very well know (homers hit a country/ desert mile, a plus arm, smooth catching skills, etc.); he may not live up to the lofty expectations (after all, the scouts project Harper to do everything but cure cancer and prove that talking pink unicorns exist), but he is going to be a star nonetheless. He may have run out of steam at the end of his High School career, but for a 17 year old kid under intense scrutiny, that's expected (after all, Harper IS human, contrary to popular belief). He probably is close to Joe Mauer in approach (that's a crazy, scary comparison), but he does not project to stay at catcher. Incredibly unrealistic choice here; most likely the #1 pick (or at least Top 3).
LeVon Washington, OF, INF, Chipola JC (FL), L/R
An interesting draft choice for any team. Has lots of tools, but not enough enough defensive skills to have him stay in CF. A move to 2nd base is probably in the near future. A game changer with his speed and
impact bat; however, many issues arise on a personal level. He turned down millions of dollars not to play for Tampa Bay, and he failed to achieve good enough grades to play for Florida University, so both
incedents call into question this young man's character. Regardless, Washington will definatly be a draft pick worth taking.
*College Players*
Christian Colon, INF, Cal State Fullerton, R/R
Not very high on him. Said to have outstanding leadership skills, but I am more interested in his actual baseball skillset. Across the board, he seems average. Average tools, but he makes the most out of
them. Excellent defender, though. Worth following and looking after.
Josh Osich, LHP, Oregon St., L/L
A solid lefty pitcher, but extremely raw. Only started starting games his Junior year. Hard-throwing with a devasting curve, which is his outpitch. His changeup needs to be developed, but he has
not had to use it while in the bullpen. Risky due to the fact that he has not started, he could slip. However, with a strong season, he would solidify his spot on top of the draft board.
Justin Grimm, RHP, Georgia, R/R
Big right hander with a big fastball. Has some contol issues, but those have seemed to have been straightened out.
Chris Sale, LHP, Florida Gulf Coast, L/L
Fast rising left-hander who really impressed in the Cape Cod leagues. He is a tall, lean lefty who features a firm, hard fastball and a sharp slider. Deceptive 3-quarters arm slot and very aggressive in attacking hitters. Fixed some control issues, but could still use improvement to clean-up mechanics which would help his control. Overall, probably a top 10 pick in the draft.
James Paxton, LHP, Kentucky, L/L
Drafted last year by the Toronto Blue Jays with the 37th pick, Paxton could slide to the Tigers. Has big control issues, and doesn’t have a third pitch. He features a fastball-slider combination, but without a third pitch, he may no stay a starter in the big leagues. However, his fastball sits in the mid-90’s (impressive for a lefty), and he has a solid slider.
Drew Pomeranz, LHP, Ole Miss, R/L
Big lefty pitcher with a solid fastball and command. Needs to continue to gain confidence in his secondary stuff, the change and curve. Once thought of as a Top 5 pick in the draft, Pomeranz’s stock has slipped some because scouts see him as a good middle rotation guy, and not a front of the rotation type of guy.
Bryce Brentz, OF, Middle Tennessee, R/R
Will probably be drafted as an outfielder, but can pitch as well. His bat generates a lot of speed and power. Scouts question his work ethic and makeup, so he’ll need a big year to really impress people again. Could drop to late 1st round or supplementary picks.
Rick Hague, INF, Rice, R/R
A solid shortstop out of Rice, Hague should be a late 1st round choice or 2nd round choice. Projects to stay at short, a position he fields wonderfully. He complements his strong fielding prowess with a solid stick. He will be a solid major league player.
Zack Cox, 3B, Arkansas, L/R
Draft-eligible sophomores are always intriguing. He has a smooth lefty swing that has dangerous power in it. A big guy, he may not stay at 3rd base, but instead find himself playing either 1st or left. Very projectable. Could find himself in the Top 10, but he could slip to late 1st round due to leverage (sophomore) and questions linger about his true power potential.
*High School Players*
Jameson Taillon, RHP, The Woodlands HS (TX), R/R
The top prep pitcher in the draft, and he may well be the top pitcher in the draft (overall Anthony Ranaudo of LSU). Big, tall righty power pitcher with a power fastball, good curve, a good slider, and an average-ish change-up. He will be a Top 5 pick, no doubt, so really unrealistic for teams beyond that.
Cameron Bedrosian, RHP, East Coweta HS (GA), R/R
Not terribly big for a pitcher who throws as hard as he does (mid-90’s heat), but he has a very easy, fluid pitching motion. However, he is still considered very raw. However, he is a high upside for a guy projected to go late 1st round to 2nd round. He features an arsenal of a hard fastball, a curveball, a change-up, and a type of cutter (more-or-less a two-seam fastball). He does well at changing speeds, and has a good feel for his large pitch repertoire.
Yordy Cabrera, INF/ OF/ RHP, Lakeland HS (FL), R/R
I wish he would slide to the supplementary round, but it is very unlikely. Even though he plays shortstop, his large frame will most likely be moved to the outfield or 3rd base. Physically compared to a young Miguel Cabrera. One knock against him is that he is a year older than the competition he is facing. However, that does not devalue his talents in any way. He possesses a very big bat, like Miguel Cabrera (seriously, the dude beat Bryce "Superman" Harper in a homerun contest), but where he will end up playing in the field is a mystery. Also a pitcher, he will definitely be drafted for his bat. Oh, and his dad is the manager of the Gulf Coast Tigers.
Brian Ragira, OF, James Martin HS (TX), R/R
A guy I’m pretty high on, lean and lanky Brian Ragira brings many tools to the table. He offers above average foot speed, bat speed (from the right side), and arm strength. Also a pitcher, he will most likely be drafted to play the field. With his athleticism and tools, he is a future centerfielder. He could be anything from Austin Jackson to Cameron Maybin to Curtis Granderson (in no particular order…). A Stanford commit, he could slide to late 1st round to supplementary.
Justin O'Connor, RHP/ INF, Cowan HS (IN), R/R
Another guy I’m pretty high on, he is a two-way player that will most likely be drafted as an infielder. Even though he may get bigger as he gains more strength (right now: 6’ 1", 190 lbs.), he will probably not move from his current position at shortstop. He has smooth defensive skills and a solid arm. His bat is solid as well. Probably a late 1st round or supplementary pick.
Austin Wilson, OF, Harvard-Westlake HS (CA), R/R
Another impressive prep position player that I’m high on. Plus power and plus arm from the outfield, Wilson could go middle of the 1st round. Most likely a corner outfielder. Some say he has the most power potential in this year’s draft class.
AJ Cole, RHP, Oviedo HS (FL), R/R
Projected to be a top pick in the draft. Not really realistic at even the former #19 slot, but still could have slid. Big body, hard thrower with a good hard curve. A third pitch, the change-up, is underdeveloped, but that’s expected from a high school pitcher. Said to be the second best prep pitcher behind Jameson Taillon.
Karsten Whitson, RHP, Chipley HS (FL), R/R
Hard throwing righty pitcher with good bloodlines (Ed Whitson’s son). Above-average fastball, but lacks solid secondary stuff. Other reports have him featuring a wicked slider, so it’s hard to gauge his stuff. Still, his mechanics need work if he is to stay as a starter. Otherwise, he would make a dominating closer.
Stetson Allie, RHP, St. Edward HS (OH), R/R
A two-way player who will most likely be drafted as a pitcher, mainly due to the fact he throws in the upper-90’s. Like Whitson, his secondary stuff needs work as do his mechanics. He will most likely be a top prep pitcher, but could slide due to his UNC commit. Surpirisngly agile at 3rd base for having such a large frame, so he is very athletic.
Dylan Covey, RHP, Maranatha HS (CA), R,R
Big, powerful hard-throwing righty with a curve and a change-up. Good command with all his pitches. Good mechanics, uses his strong lower body. Look for him to go mid 1st round, but his stock is rising go rapidly he may end up being a Top 5 pick in the draft.
Josh Sale, OF, Bishop Blanchet HS (WA), L/R
One of the best hitters in this year’s draft, and only in high school. His bat will definitely carry him up the draft boards. He doesn’t possess the best athleticism or refined skill set, but his bat is truly special. He will probably end up being a mid 1st round pick at the least; although, questions of his defensive skills may push him back to late 1st round.
Trey Griffin, OF, Martin Luther King HS (GA), R/R
Not much is being said about Trey Griffin. However, he is one the most athletic high school players in the draft. He has the potential to be a 5 tool player. Lots of projection from him, good outfield actions, good arm, good bat, raw power, and blazing speed. Look for him to fly under the radar and most likely slip to the supplementary to 2nd round.
Notes
In the past, the Detroit Tigers have used their payroll flexibility to snatch up top prospects who have fallen to them. However, with a faltering economy and unexpected season ticket expectations, it is unclear whether they have access to Mr. Ilitch's blank checks. That said, adding another young arm into their organization via the first round is very likely, even though the organization sorely lacks depth in positional talent. The Front Office loves drafting hard-throwing pitchers (Miller, Porcello, Turner, oh yeah, Verlander). However, a top-notch lefty would be nice, just to complement the right-handed dominated rotation, or an impact bat would be a nice unexpected choice.
Thanks go to:
for this information on the prospects
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Bless You Boys writing staff.
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Comments
if this is how you make a debut
I look forward to seeing what comes next!
All your favorite Tigers blog are belong to me.
Bless You Boys.com -- MackAvenueTigers.com
Thanks!
I look forward to being part of the BYB community!
by DetroitTigersGeek on Jan 17, 2010 9:08 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Wow.
Yordy Cabrera sounds like an interesting addition, although I’m wary of high school “big bats” after the Drew Henson experiment failed. Sounds like a good fit for the Tigers, and more importantly the Tigers could be the best fit possible for Cabrera. Great post and I’m going to definitely check out the references you listed. Thanks!
2010 is Year 4707 in the Chinese Calendar - The Year Of The Tiger
by TigerFanInCleveland on Jan 17, 2010 9:47 PM EST reply actions
He's probably not a SS
And he might stick at 3B, but I’ve seen RF as a possible destination for him (actually on Andy Seiler’s blog, which DTGeek listed in his sources).
Also, what do you think about Caleb Kowart? He’s a 2 way player (RHP/3B) who we could have gotten with the first rounder… would have liked to see him in the D.
President, Vice President and Secretary of the Casey Crosby Fanclub.
by David Tokarz on Jan 17, 2010 9:59 PM EST up reply actions
Wanted to put him on the list
But I figured I put soooo many unrealistic picks in my list that I should byspass him.
However, he is an impressive 3rd baseman, and pitcher. Might slide due to his “raw-ness” though.
I would probably draft him as a 3rd baseman, obviously because the Tigers have such a huge need for positional prospects (and impact bats), and he has a lot of power potential.
by DetroitTigersGeek on Jan 17, 2010 11:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
After reading the synopsis on him... ouch.
Sounds like an interesting player that probably won’t be around for the Tigers to draft.
If TINSTAAPP continues to hold true...
then a regression to the mean is in order, as DD has had pretty a good success rate. Looking back through DD’s drafts since 2002, he has not really nailed it on any hitters except for Granderson (3rd rd). Starting to wonder if the scouting of Latin American players needs to produce more.
2010 is Year 4707 in the Chinese Calendar - The Year Of The Tiger
by TigerFanInCleveland on Jan 18, 2010 12:36 AM EST reply actions
from what I've read from TigsTown's Mark Anderson
It’s too early to judge the latin american operation. He says it cranked up a lot more in the past two-three years. But when you’re signing 16-17-18 year olds, it’s going to take awhile for those kids to make it far enough in the system to be noticed. There’s some 18 year olds with some exciting possibilities, but we won’t know how that works out for a couple years.
All your favorite Tigers blog are belong to me.
Bless You Boys.com -- MackAvenueTigers.com
by Kurt Mensching on Jan 18, 2010 9:36 AM EST up reply actions
I agree on Christian Colon. His bat, when adjusted for park/strength of schedule profiles much like Danny Worth’s did in college — though that could change as I just have Worth’s 2007 on record and Colon’s couple of years. The only differences that I’ve seen thus far is that Colon walks a touch less, but does possess more power than Worth. So it probably makes him better than Worth was but I’m not sure that’s 1st round material at all.
I am a Bryce Brentz Believer.
Other college bats quick hits from me:
BIG TIME PASS ON RICK HAGUE. He K’s way too much — 23.9% in 2009 and 16.8% in 2008 — while only walking 7.6% (2009) and 8.1% (2008). That high of a K rate (around 18% is where you really start to get to the territory of “can’t make enough contact to be successful in pro-ball”) is a red flag for me.
Zack Cox was a league average hitter in 2009 in the SEC. He, also, has a very high K rate — 28% — while his walk rate was just 9.7%. Him being a draft-eligible sophomore definitely makes me more lenient on his contact problems, so if he cuts down on that this year (which is plausible/something I think he can/will do) to around the 15% mark or lower, and maintain his K rate and keep his Isolated Power around the .295 level he had last year (SEC average in 2009 of .184), he becomes very enticing.
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
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Five bucks says we draft Colon
DD and Chadd are big on the leadership types…
President, Vice President and Secretary of the Casey Crosby Fanclub.
by David Tokarz on Jan 18, 2010 3:46 AM EST up reply actions
If he’s available, it’s possible, for sure. But mocks I’ve seen I believe have had him high. Unless Colon drops I don’t think we’ll have the opportunity to draft him.
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.
Also, I echo Kurt’s sentiments: great debut post!
My old blog is Tigers By The Numbers.
Now I write at Bless You Boys.
Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.

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