Early season projections, hey I'm bored and spring training is almost here

Damon: .290, 15 HR (hey, he did it)
Sizemore: .270, 15 HR
Cabrera: .320, 40 HR
Ordonez: .310, 15 HR
Guillen: .280, 20 HR
Inge: .250, 15 HR
Laird: .240, 5 HR
Everett: .240, 3 HR

Verlander: 20-10, 220 K, 3.50 ERA
Scherzer: 16-10, 210 K, 3.75 ERA
Robertson: 14-14, 120 K, 4.30 ERA
Bonderman: 16-14, 160 K, 4.40 ERA
Porcello: 10-12, 120 K, 4.80 ERA

Zumya at 50 apperances would be a gift from god, I’m a big fan of Schlarith. I think Galarraga will be traded at some point. Please god don’t let us be that close to the Twins again, they alway’s seem to ro-sham-bo-us in the end of the season…

Damon-282 avg 14 hr 76 RBI

Sizemore- 268 avg 8 hr 61 RBI

Ordonez- 318 avg 12 hr 92 RBI

Cabrera- 326 avg 34 hr 128 RBI

Guillen- 276 avg 22 hr 94 RBI (I can see a bounce-back year for Carlos, PA could hurt)

Inge- 228 avg 22 hr 78 RBI

Sanitago- 269 avg 10 hr 48 RBI

Jackson- 238 avg 6 hr 46 RBI 16 SB

Laird- 236 avg 8 hr 42 RBI (No Change)

Verlander 19- 7 3.28 ERA

Scherzer 15- 12 4.18 ERA

Porcello 15- 9 3.88 ERA

Bonderman 13-12 4.62 ERA

Robertson 9- 14 4.92 ERA

(71-54 for SP … Hmm that win total seems a bit high, maybe losses as well)

Bullpen

Z Miner – 66 App- 3.66 ERA – 4 Wins

Ni – 62 App – 4.12 ERA – 3 Wins

Seay – (honestly believe he gets traded)

Schlereth – 42 App – 5.26 ERA – 2 Wins

Coke – 63 App – 4.66 ERA – 2 Wins

R Perry – 68 App – 3.88 ERA – 2 Wins, 4 Saves

J Zumaya – 52 App – 3.44 ERA – 2 Wins, 2 Saves

J Velverde – 68 App – 2.62 ERA – 3 Wins, 34 Saves

~89 Wins seems a bit high but not too far from what I am thinking (80-85), and the App for BP pitchers may seem high but we all know how Leyland loves to rotate his BP guys

That’s what I predicted for last season, and I think there’s a possibility that that’s a realistic figure for the Tigers to achieve in 2010. I think, going in, we’re probably mostly agreed on the idea that the Tigers are not quite as good as last year’s squad at this moment. The 2009 edition finished with 86 wins, 5 games above the Pythagorean win expectation. Take away a couple of games from that win total, regress the Tigers towards that win percentage mean, and, 78-84 becomes a realistic number. I hope, obviously, that the Tigers outperform again, and actually bring it home this year, but something about that record feels right, no matter how disappointing it would be.

And yes, I know the pythag win percentage is based on runs scored and allowed, so past performance ain’t got nothing on future results, but given what I expect to be both a decrease in runs AND runs scored, that number might end up similar this year.

           AVG OBP SLG
AJax .260 .300 .350
Raburn .280 .330 .490
Mags .305 .350 .460
Cabrera .325 .380 .550
Guillen .275 .330 .480
Scotty .265 .315 .440
Inge .270 .320 .470
Santiago .270 .330 .465
Everett .245 .300 .380
Laird .250 .310 .400
Avila .280 .320 .475