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Detroit's best and worst pitched games so far in 2010

If I asked you what the best game by a Tigers starting pitcher was this year, you'd probably spit back: Armando Galarraga's 28-out perfect game.

And I guess it's kind of hard to argue against that logic.

But there's a measurement out there that kind of sums the good things a pitcher can do in a game, subtracts the bad, and gives you a score. Fittingly that's called a Game Score! It was invented by Bill James.

It's easiest just to post the rules up front, then I'll tell you what Tigers games were best and worst this season.

Rules:

  1. Start with 50 points.
  2. Add 1 point for each out recorded, so 3 points for every complete inning pitched.
  3. Add 2 points for each inning completed after the 4th.
  4. Add 1 point for each strikeout.
  5. Subtract 2 points for each hit allowed.
  6. Subtract 4 points for each earned run allowed.
  7. Subtract 2 points for each unearned run allowed.
  8. Subtract 1 point for each walk.

So basically we're looking for pitcher domination here. A guy that goes deep into the game and strikes out a lot will be rewarded the most. A contact guy will not score incredibly high. Then again he's not being particularly dominating if he's giving up baserunners, is he?

You want a good example of a pitcher dominating? Toronto's start by Brandon Morrow. He struck out 17, walked just two and allowed just one hit in a complete game shutout. Dominating. Score of 100. The first 100 scored since Randy Johnson threw a perfect game in 2004. Curt Schilling had similar numbers to Morrow in 2002 to score 100 also. This season there have been two of 95 or above, and 17 of 90 or above. So that's your baseline.

So how did the Tigers do?

Star-divide

Research from and links go to Baseball-Reference.

Top 5 game scores:

Name Game  Game Score
Armando Galarraga June 2 vs. Indians 88
Justin Verlander May 2 vs. Angels 80
Justin Verlander May 19 vs. A's 79
Max Scherzer July 2 vs. Mariners 77
Max Scherzer May 30 vs. A's 75

 

Snap judgment: The Tigers should be in the A.L. West!

Rounding out the rotation: Rick Porcello's top was 72, while Jeremy Bonderman's highest score was 69.

How about lowest scores you ask?

Bottom 5 game scores (reverse order)

Name Game Game score
Rick Porcello April 25 vs. Rangers
19
Rick Porcello Aug. 3 vs. White Sox
18
Rick Porcello June 9 vs. White Sox
13
Jeremy Bonderman April 16 vs.Red Sox
8
Max Scherzer May 3 vs. Twins
4

 

Snap judgment: Wow, I didn't realize it was that bad for Porcello. Then again he gives out hits like Chiclets and fails to strike out batters. So what did I expect? Of course he's on the bottom five. Interesting that most of these games were in the first half of the season, too.

In case you're wondering: Brad Thomas had scores of 42 and 26 in his two starts. Eddie Bonine scored a 24. Andrew Oliver ranged from 25 to 57. Dontrelle Willis bottomed out at 33 in the Tigers' uniform. Galarraga stunk up a 24, and Verlander's lowest was 25.

So what's the average score?

Average Game Score for Tigers with Five-or-More Starts

Player Average Game Score
Justin Verlander 56
Max Scherzer 52
Jeremy Bonderman 47
Armando Galarraga 47
Dontrelle Willis 47
Rick Porcello 42
Andy Oliver 39

 

Snap judgment: No, I could hardly believe Dontrelle Willis averaged up to 47 either. But he did have a few good games in the Tigers' uniform. I'm surprised three players all come in a 47, actually.

So there you have it. Anything that surprised you?

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Executive Summary:

Best
The 28-Out Perfect Game.

Worst
The other 116.

I keed, I keed, nice post!

With those who don't give a damn about baseball, I can only sympathize. I do not resent them. I am even willing to concede that many of them are physically clean, good to their mothers and in favor of world peace. But while the game is on, I can't think of anything to say to them. ~ Art Hill

by crwi on Aug 16, 2010 1:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Very interesting.

I’d love to see a running summary of all games.

Granderson was my Tiger, then Sizemore, then Willis. Since they're all gone, I'm taking Raburn and hoping the pattern holds.

by momotigers on Aug 16, 2010 1:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Very, very interesting

A great and easy way to get an idea of how dominant a pitcher was on X date

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by BrianCMU. on Aug 16, 2010 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

I learn yet another stat from BYB.

I love this site. I would like to see the averages from some teams who are supposedly strong pitching teams for comparison sake or a baseline average for all American League pitchers. Would this information be readily available at Baseball-Reference?

Rooting for Tiger stripes, not pinstripes

by JerseyTigerFan on Aug 16, 2010 3:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Dunno

But it’s available on ESPN for individual pitchers (Expanded II Pitching Stats). Dunno why they don’t have it on the team stats.

by rcpratt on Aug 16, 2010 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

we aim to help

but unfortunately I don’t know any way to find what you’re looking for!

by Kurt Mensching on Aug 16, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I find this stat intriguing

I like looking at it on ESPN and like the reasonable attempt to compare the best pitched games of the year.

by Elfuego51 on Aug 16, 2010 4:21 PM EDT reply actions  

I remember watching Baseball Tonight doing their judgment rankings of the 5 best starts all season

They put Galarraga at #4 and said it would have been higher if it were actually a perfect game. I laughed hard.

by crc33 on Aug 16, 2010 4:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Armando's should be a 90

He lost two points for the “hit”, so give that back and it’s a 90, maybe that would have leapfrogged another item on the list.

I can’t recall how many strikeouts Halladay had in his perfect game, but math tells me it couldn’t have been more than 11, if Morrow’s was the only 100 point game. Morrow had 2 hits and a walk for -5, So subtract that from his 17 extra points from Ks, and it says it Halladay had 12 strikeouts, he would have joined the 100 point club.

Official BYB Juju Consultant...now accepting rally creature applications!

by ahtrap on Aug 16, 2010 4:49 PM EDT reply actions  

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