Heart of the Tigers' batting order disappears in the heart of Texas
BOX
KEY STATS
Tigers 1-for-12 with RISP. (2-for-19 for the series.)
13 runners stranded. (22 for the series.)
KEY PLAYS
Victor Martinez flew out with the bases loaded in the ninth to go back to the dugout empty handed. Elvis Andrus made it exciting by bobbling the ball.
Ryan Raburn's 3-run home run in the third accounted for the Tigers' only runs of the game.
KEY THOUGHTS.
Put this on Ryan Perry if you want, but I think you'd be misplacing your anger. That ought to be centered right on the backs of Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez. Detroit's not going to advance to the World Series on the backs of the pitchers and role players like Don Kelly. If Cabrera, Martinez, Jhonny Peralta and Alex Avila don't hit like they did in the regular season, it's all over but the crying for the Tigers.
And right now, they're not hitting. Cabrera is batting .267 in the postseason and has the intentional walk and pitch-around walk to thank for the fact his on-base percentage is above .300. Why pitch around Cabrera? Because Martinez has been awful. It very well could be related to the knee that hobbled him. Who knows. Maybe we'll find out after the season. But the fact is, he's batting fifth and is absolutely no threat at all right now. His postseason average is .167, OBP and slugging are both under .300.
Then you have Alex Avila, who just is not right. He's just been so beat up catching so many games, he just seems to be off. Frankly, and I hate to say this, but the Tigers may as well start Omir Santos out there for as well as Avila has looked. I hope he proves me wrong. He's going to keep starting, so he certainly has the opportunity. But Avila has been so bad Leyland dropped him to 8th in the order. At least Peralta hit for a double today. Otherwise, he, too, has been pretty bad.
Basically, while everyone thinks, "Oh no, we're back to 9-1-2 in the batting order," we're better off with those guys coming up for the Tigers in a key situation than we are the 3-4-5 batters. (Unless the Don Kelly is pinch-hitting, apparently.)
So yeah, blame the pitching if you want. But the Tigers only allowed three runs through nine innings. If the batters had been able to actually come through in any situation at all, we'd all be celebrating a win right now instead of watching as the Rangers celebrated.
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#sigh
I miss our regular season offense. I wish it would come back.
Random nonsense at @Baroque97
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
bats have gone in deep hibernation.
I guess when Kelly, Rayburn have more hits then the team is in trouble.
He provided our only runs today: R-A-B-U-R-N.
Thank you.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions
And he's damn good against lefties and in the second half
So maybe he should get a bit of credit.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions
Avila I can understand because he's beat to hell.
But Cabrera, Peralta, and to some extent Martinez are a problem.
Random nonsense at @Baroque97
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
I think its time to admit that some things were significantly inflated by our competition.
We beat up on a weak AL Central for most of the season. Right now, we’re getting our flaws exposed by teams that had stiffer competition. We got by the Yankees with a little luck, and without that luck we’re now sitting 0-2.
Sorry to be such a Debbie Downer, I’m still pulling for this team and I sure as hell don’t want the season to end here and now, but perhaps our record isn’t really an indicator of how good we truly are. Perhaps we’re running into a team that’s simply that much better than us, and we’re not the favorites we thought we were.
Either way, tomorrow is another game and all you can do is try and win that one, not reflect on individual struggles and previous results. The only game that matters is the next one.
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 9:15 PM EDT reply actions
I don't agree
Cabrera and Martinez are good batters regardless of the competition. They are hitting way below their true level
by Kurt Mensching on Oct 10, 2011 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed
These guys are in a slump or injured.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions
I think just fatigued, both mentally and physically
Players often have to survive on adrenaline to overcome the physical tiredness that sets in after this much baseball. After five games- six if you count the false start, plus not knowing who’s starting, who’s pitching, who’s injured for the season, stop start stop start, fly to NY, fly to Texas, and see more of the same, it’s just all so draining. Hopefully, they get a boost from the home crowd on Tuesday and get some key hits and the adrenaline gets going again. The opportunities have been there. The key hits have not. Miggy looks like he’s trying to carry the team and it’s draining him.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Good observations
Miggy in particular hasn’t been able to catch up to a fastball in a few games. (SSS!)
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Home
I think we would have won both of those games at home. Just having the crowd on your side and hitting in the bottom of the inning instead of the top seems to make a big difference. I was deflated last night and I thought, “How come we never get to play at home?” Seriously, 5 of the last 7 playoff games on the road. I really wish we would have won one more game to get home field for this set.
The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981
Ours flaws were defense and pitching depth
Not offense. The offense has blown chunks while the pitching has been very much acceptable.
I hate Jonathon Ericsson.
and oddly enough
Didn’t the Tigers go through the Yankees series without committing any errors? Doesn’t include hits that fielders with better range would have gotten to, but for the limitations the defense wasn’t bad last series.
Random nonsense at @Baroque97
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Our offense is still very flawed.
We basically give teams free innings with our first three batters’ + 8&9 ineptitude at getting on base. Jackson is a #9 hitter on any other good offense. Utility guys should be batting in the bottom as well, not 2nd. And Delmon young at 3… just no.
But with how limited our options are, we can’t fully blame Leyland on this. We desperately need a high OBP guy or two, or maybe another power hitter (Miguel is our only hitter with 30+ HRs) or both (A Swisher type?)
by NintendoPlaystationNumbers on Oct 10, 2011 9:36 PM EDT up reply actions
I can buy this to some degree
But hell, our starting 2B at the end of the year turned into a mini-pumpkin, his replacement sucked and got dealt for worse, his replacement got hurt and the fourth guy we put there has to move to a corner OF spot to fill a void.
And we suck at one corner OF spot because we lost Boesch for the season.
How much better is this offense if the lineup is this:
CF Jackson
RF Boesch
LF Young
1B Cabrera
DH Martinez
SS Peralta
C Avila
3B Betemit
2B Santiago
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Erm
2B should be Raburn.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions
you have a short memory!
President of the "Start Ramon Santiago" Campaign
by okie for michigan on Oct 11, 2011 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, we really suck.
We took out the #1 seed already and all, but what else have we done?
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Let's be completely honest here:
A 5 game series is not the greatest indicator of which is the superior team.
Never said we sucked, that we’ve spent a lot of this season feasting on a pretty lousy division and it may have inflated how good we actually are. If we get swept, it’s probably more than likely the truth.
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Our record against the AL East this year?
20 – 16
Our record against Texas this year: 6 – 3.
We did what we were supposed to do in our division, but we were .500 or better against both the East and West, too.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions
And those are decent numbers, but nothing to write home about.
The Tigers are 45-45 against non-AL Central teams.
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Blame interleague
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions
To win the WS, we can go 11 - 8 in the post - season,
which is nothing to write home about either. Unless, of course, you do it.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm a Debbie Downer
But I think you’re a little off. The Tigers can hang with the big dogs at about a .500 level, but my problem are injuries at this point. Avila’s banged up, Martinez is missing a toe, Young (for all his flaws) has an oblique strain and Boesch is DOA.
We suck, but it’s suck due to attrition.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Meh, every team has injuries.
The laundry list of injuries no one knew about usually comes right next to the final box score.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
Was the AL Central really weaker than the AL West?
‘Cause that’s who Texas played the majority of their games against and they only finished a couple games ahead of us. Are Oakland, Seattle, and the Angels (whereever they’re saying they’re from these days) really more imposing than the White Sox, Tribe, Royals and Twins? Maybe, but It’s not a strong case.
The bottom line is our best hitters just aren’t hitting. If that’s due to injuries chalk it up to it just not being our year, but they have to start hitting or we won’t win. We had the best offense in the AL in the regular season but haven’t scored more than 5 runs in a game in the playoffs, and it seems like ages since we scored more than 3. That’s a lot of pressure to put on your pitching staff.
by TheCrestedHelm on Oct 11, 2011 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions
A couple stats courtesy of Dan Dickerson...
“#Tigers finished 1-13 with RISP….stranded 13 baserunners….now 3-32 with RISP in the last four games.”
“Another problem for Tigers…scoring vs. bullpens….have now scored just 3ER in 30IP against NY and Texas pens..”
I hate Jonathon Ericsson.
Are we sure AJax isn't a NL pitcher in disguise?
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 9:21 PM EDT reply actions
This is the greatest game I have ever watched
You guys shouldn’t be down on your team. The Tigers are in the ALCS for a reason, and I’m sure their hitting is going to show up at some time in this series. You guys have too good a team to keep playing like this. I look forward to the 3 in Detroit, and I’m hoping the series doesn’t go back to Texas ;)
Great game, and good luck guys.
lol.. man... dont get too drunk... but dont get not drunk enough that its rape
by I am Neftali Feliz on Jul 29, 2011 6:44 PM CDT
by Travis93 on Oct 10, 2011 9:21 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Game 163 sucked. This game sucked.
That is all.
by Kurt Mensching on Oct 10, 2011 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, not point in arguing different levels of suck.
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I'd say way down on the list of great games
For pure ineptness, I’d put it there
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions
if this series doesn't go back to Texas
it means our season is over? soooo yeah…
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
I know he was trying to be nice or whatever
but I don’t want to see another Rangers fan here tonight.
by Kurt Mensching on Oct 10, 2011 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions
100% blame this on lack of offensive production
and too angry to say or think anymore about this game right now.
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
Agree
as I think we had one real scoring chance in the last 8 innings. Need to get the bats going. But this is just 4 games that we’ve been in a slump, and that happened several times during the year. We can and will turn it around. And I’m very pleased with our pitching – we’ve done enough to win and that should continue
by Mark Osbourne on Oct 10, 2011 9:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Ugh, I really hope we do what's necessary to at least extend the series.
Not a Lions fan.
Not a Red Wings fan.
Am a Piston fan, but doesn’t look like there’s going to be any NBA. And even if there was, Pistons are probably going to be the worst team in the league (or close to the bottom).
There’s a good chance I’m done with sports until April. So let’s extend this series and get back into it. Somehow.
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 9:32 PM EDT reply actions
I think Kurt’s post is overly negative for a couple of reasons. This is the post-season. Pitching is much better in the post-season. The RISP stat is way too low, but it is also a product of small sample sizes.
As for some of the offensive production problems, I am sure Avila is hurt and I think V-Mart and Cabrera are too. Avila’s injury is probably a product of overuse down the stretch, which was fairly inexcusable. The rest of the lineup – AJax, Inge, Santiago – are performing about as well as we expect.
The pitching has been great except for the 8th inning in Game 4 of the ALDS. Even though the results don’t show it, I thought Perry pitched fairly well today (minus his last pitch). If Kelly isn’t playing at no-double position against the first batter, that’s a much different inning. Even after that, Perry hit most of his spots.
The losses would have been much more discouraging if they were 10-2 blowouts. While both of those games were very winnable, but that also means that the Rangers aren’t playing that well either. I think playing in Detroit will help the team. And remember, a playoff series doesn’t really start until the home team loses.
I disagree about how discouraging it is
I feel a lot worse when we take the game into extras and lose by a freaking grand slam than if the game’s a blowout. might just be me, but it hurts a lot more.
at least with a blowout
There is never that feeling that you are * right there * almost close enough to win it. To basically lose two straight one-run games is painful.
Random nonsense at @Baroque97
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Yeah, it is painful but that’s baseball. In every close game, the losing team will look back and see their missed chances.
by SpartanBoiler on Oct 10, 2011 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions
"The RISP stat is way too low, but it is also a product of small sample sizes"
We’re on a short leash, there is no time for the sample size to flesh out. What is happening is what actually matters.
And blowouts are not discouraging. We were blown out twice in the last series and won it. It’s much easier to rebound from a blowout than a tough, emotional loss.
I hate Jonathon Ericsson.
You may think that there isn’t enough time for a sample size to flesh out, but that’s what you have with a playoff series. There are fluctuations in a player’s performance throughout the year and most of those things are completely random (i.e., non injury) events. As much as we want to think so, athletes don’t really have “hot” and “cold” streaks and they aren’t “clutch” or “non-clutch.” You can’t stress poor performance with RISP because the “hot” streaks from earlier this year are just the pendulum swinging the other direction.
by SpartanBoiler on Oct 11, 2011 12:26 AM EDT up reply actions
So confused..
Your first sentence says exactly what I said, but in a disagreeing tone? And hot, cold, clutch, the average in July, none of it matters. The job isn’t getting done and sample size is meaningless because time is a factor and the sample size will not be large enough to grunt affirmatively while nodding. They’re either getting it done or they aren’t. And they aren’t.
I hate Jonathon Ericsson.
I still think we should have sent Santigo in the top of the 9th on the double
He was running on contact cause there was 2 outs. We knew that Texas had a bullpen that could outlast us in a extra inning game. I know that hindsight is always 20/20, but I just think it was a risk/reward play with much more reward than risk. We either score the go ahead run and have Valverde close it out; or have Valverde get through the 9th and lead off the 10th with Cabrera and Martinez.
I agree. Even with a great hitter like Cabby (or Martinez), there’s a 35% chance that a hit brings in the run. There’s also a 10% chance of a walk, but that doesn’t do anything other than give the next batter (Raburn after the IBB to Cabby) a 30-35% chance to get a hit (.10 × .35 = .035). Throw in the possibility of a wild pitch or a fielding error and you’re looking at about 40% chance of a hitter bringing in Santiago.
With Santiago running right away from first (since there were two outs), I think you have a better than 40% chance. Yes, the Rangers all have great arms in the outfield, but getting him out at the plate requires 1) a good throw to the cutoff man, 2) a good catch and turn by the cutoff man 3) a good throw from the cutoff man, and 4) a good catch and block/tag by the catcher. Too much can go wrong. Force Texas to make a great play, not pitch around your best hitter and pitch to an injured DH.
by SpartanBoiler on Oct 10, 2011 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Link?
Jason Beck says: Lamont will get 2nd-guessed on stop sign. But if you can’t give Cabrera and V-Mart a chance to drive in that run, you have bigger issues.
by SpartanBoiler on Oct 10, 2011 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Completely disagree - The ball bounced right to the fielder
And if Santiago would have been thrown out (he would have) we would be screaming for Lamont’s head.
3rd base coach
Another loss due to terrible coaching by Lamont. On top of that, why was Perry left in after 3 straight hits when Al Al was warmed up? I would have taken a chance on his strikeout ability.
wrong
santiago was toast. if he was sent only chance to score was if he bulldozed the catcher and napoli dropped the ball. ramon’s no kirk gibson.
we lost coz texas beat us. they were better last night. now let’s get a blowout victory and get the series back on track!
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't fault Leyland for any decisions today, including using Perry
Perry is not the greatest reliever, but I think he was the best available at the time. JL played it just about right today. The offense generated scoring opportunities, but they just didn’t cash in. Keep getting chances, and they’re bound to score runs. We’ve seen streaks like this at times during the summer.
Cabrera seems to be going up there hacking, like he did when he first came to Detroit. He’s never in a hitter’s count and always in a hole. He winds up chasing bad pitches. Victor and Miggy are doing nothing at the plate, and they have to wake up or it will be a short series.
I still think the Tigers should win any given game based on starting pitching match ups, and the back end of the pen matches up with anyone, if the starters can blow right past the soft under belly that is middle relief. They just need some run support and timely hitting.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Agreed
Ryan Perry did a good job in the NY series- he deserved this shot.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Perry is a big tease
even bigger than Schlereth or some of the good young relievers with good stuff that battle command and control. In 34 appearances after the break last year, he was dominant. Thought we had our seventh inning guy right there to go with Benoit and Valverde, but no. Wild thang returned. First round bust, and you hate to trade him because he could sort things out and dominate again.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
I do put a little blame on Leyland
1. Why is Kelly playing Young to pull the ball? Young hasn’t hit S*** all postseason long (kind of like VMart). If Kelly plays straight up that is out #1. Then Dirks drops the ball out 2.
2. Why walk Napoli? Hasn’t done anything all game. I know it sets up the DP, but he was struggling.
3. I know Leyland wanted to do matchups, but why not bring AlAl in the 7th Benoit in the 8th, then Valverde?
It's not the Pitching so far
The pitching doesn’t appear to be the problem at least not yet. The Tigers have left way too many guys on base. Yes it’s Cabrera, Martinez, Peralta, and Avilla but Jackson has just been awful. I know it isn’t over yet but the team better start playing like the team they were all regular season
Albert Pujols 5 RBI tonite.
Detroit 2 games 4 RBI
Albert Pujols not human.
Tigers very human.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Doing what the leader of the team ought to be doing
against good pitching
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't know.
Pujols had been pretty ordinary this postseason till tonight, hadn’t he?
Seems like a bit of a harsh statement.
Pujols comes up big when his team needed him
just like he has in the last 10 years in St Louis.
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Miguel and VMart have been quite pedestrian
So, no harshness there. They aren’t getting the job done and they are paid quite handsomely to do so. Pujols hit into a big DP the other night, so he’s not perfect. I know, but he is delivering, which is more than the Venezuelan Mafia is doing right now.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions
There is no bandwagon emptying going on
Simply observations.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:20 PM EDT up reply actions
IT'S BEEN THIRTY PLATE APPEARANCES
Come on, really? I don’t feel like blowing up today.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions
You're going to blow up over that?
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions
It's Tokarz, he would blow up on the Keebler Elves.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
When people talk about benching people
Or start insulting players for not getting the job done when they’re in a minor slump over a 30 plate appearance sample I kind of want to drown a sack of kittens.
Seriously, do you people think Avila/Cabrera/V-Mart/Jackson just decided they were going to stop hitting the ball? Weird things happen in small samples.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Nobody is interested in sample sizes
Of course, nobody is writing about the intentionality of suck. Meaning, no one is suggesting “it’s on purpose”. Baseball is a tough game. They aren’t doing the job they did throughout the year. That’s all there is to that, sample size and all. You can stick this in my virtual ear when / if it turns around.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Let me qualify this
There are some who are very interested in sample sizes. So, that was poor on my part.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Don Kelly's small sample size >>>>>>>>>>> Austin Jackson's small sample size.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
Didn't mean to enter just that.
I feel like the difference is so large, Don Kelly is clearly one of the hottest bats and he can’t be kept on the bench.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
Don't worry about DK,
JL finds ways to get him in.
Here’s an interesting thought, if God is obviously hurting and gassed, let’s let DK catch. (Waiting for everyone to blow their gaskets and realize it’s only been two f***ing games.)
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Nellie Cruz
Don’t worry. Small sample size!
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions
No
Cruz is legitimately freaking good.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I know, David
I’m just having fun with the sample sizing.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I think some of these people would blow up the team for last night
Teams go into slumps, look at the Yankees. Players go in to slumps. Alex, Jhonny, and Victor are all off their October numbers. But players turn it around quickly as well.(
Saturday night (prior to his home run) announcers were digging Nelson Cruz’ grave. Two games in to the series, including a grand slam and he is the MVP so far.
Cabrera, Martinez, and Alex can have the same kind of turnaround. That 12 game winning streak was not all about one player.
yes
let’s turn it around tonight! positive thinking!
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah forget the other nite.look at his performance over the past decade.
better than any MLB player.Wish we had someone in Detroit.
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:18 PM EDT up reply actions
I know, right?
What else does Cabrera have to do?
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions
apparently win the MVP...
batting title, home run title, a Gold Glove and World Series… all in the same year.
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
And save a village of puppies!
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions
How About A Sack Full Of Kittens?
Someone Up Above Is Going To Drown Them.
by TigersFan1957 on Oct 11, 2011 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions
Just embarrassing.
The guy hit .400 in September, and won a game against NY by himself. Made a sick play to extend the game tonight.
He’s a little off. Not missing by much. And here come the fans with the shovels to bury him.
Not fair.
So yeah, I'm kinda done with the whole Austin Jackson Postseason Experiment.
Don Kelly for him in center for a night? Kelly seems very unfazed by the stage and I don’t think it would hurt to have a leadoff guy who’s not an automatic out.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
by Elfuego51 on Oct 10, 2011 10:15 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Complain all you want
but there’s absolutely no way JL’s going to take AJax out of the leadoff spot.
Zero percent chance.
by frisbeepilot on Oct 10, 2011 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions
I honestly don't get this
What’s the point of a lead off hitter that never gets on base?
.290 OBP so far this series.
Not good, but we’ve got bigger problems than this, and as mentioned above, he’s not going anywhere.
The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981
ummm...
ajax HAS had some horrible at bats. he’s also had some fabulous at bats that have pushed the pitcher deep into the count (some ending in K’s and some in BB’s). i think his OBP over the playoffs is at about .300. so piling on him his stupid.
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 10, 2011 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions
300 OBP is nothing to get excited about
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions
League average OBP was .325
AJax sucked wind in April, and put up and OBP of .316 and .319 each of the last two months. He had three decent months, but was not consistently getting on base for much of the season. Now, he’s reeking.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Years AVG/ OBP/ SLG MLVr OBI%
’90s .274/.347/.391 .006 12.9%
’00s .275/.340/.407 -.003 13.3%
He is well below the avg leadoff OBP. Of course, we knew that.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Numbers for the leadoff spot by decade ^
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions
It's not like he's being compared to a bunch of guys in a different era,
you know, like the steroid era.
But hey, at least THAT’S not a small sample size!
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Here's the previous decades
Years AVG/ OBP/ SLG MLVr OBI%
’50s .263/.336/.367 -.006 12.1%
’60s .259/.322/.360 .003 12.4%
’70s .268/.332/.365 .008 12.5%
AJax’ OBP in ’10 was .345 so, he had a very good year.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions
He's not my ideal leadoff guy, either,
but he’s what we have and he is JL’s.
BTW, ‘10 was great for him, and going forward I hope he is more like the ’10 version, but I think realistically he’s somewhere in between that and this years version.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Heh....
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions
how many tigers have OBP over .300 this postseason?
i know that a 300 OBP ISN’T great. but it isn’t bad either (for the playoffs). especially compared to the way the rest of the team has performed this postseason
jackson has A LOT of work to become a professional hitter. but he is doing a decent job these playoffs and deserves to play. furthermore, he’s not been the problem these playoffs. other guys have.
give him a break, guys. let the kid play. he’s gonna be our centerfielder for years to come… and a damn good one.
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 10, 2011 11:58 PM EDT up reply actions
BEST DEFENSIVE CF IN BASEBALL
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions
i am not blaming Ajax, Leyland, perry
big offensive guys have to produce.
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions
It's been 30 PA
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions
So what kind of hole do the Tigers have to be in before you sit AJax?
He’s not swinging and missing on off speed stuff on the corners. They’re grooving fastballs down the middle and he’s missing ALL OF THEM.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
You don't sit your starting CF
Not when he’s the best defensive CF in baseball.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions
thank you david
(voice of sanity)
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 10, 2011 11:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed
The best team will be on the field every night. You don’t pin your playoff hopes on catching lightning in a bottle. You go with what got you there. If you lose, you lose and come back next year.
The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981
No...
but you might move him to the back of the order. He has had a few good at bats, but way too many strikeouts, and several of the 3-pitch variety. He could swap places with Santiago in the order. Leave Kelly in the 2 slot. Just going by what we have seen in this series, I believe that would upgrade the OBP at the top of the order. (Or do the numbers say otherwise? I have not taken the time to figure out actual post-season OBP’s).
by knucklescarbone on Oct 11, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh yeah?
Austin wasn’t even the best defensive CF of the ALDS. He has made 0 plays in the playoffs that Don Kelly could not have made.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
*facepalm
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions
allow me David...
THIS DOESN’T MEAN HE ISN’T THE BEST DEFENSIVE CF IN THE MLB.
I’m all for dropping him out of the leadoff spot, but benching Ajax? c’mon now…
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
No it doesn't
But he’s still not better than Peter Bourjos defensively. Never has been.
REALLY - Don Kelly in for Austin Jackson? Did you REALLY type that!
And what post season EXPERIMENT are you referencing? He played more than 150 games in Center this year and might win a gold glove
I don't know if it's the playoffs are getting to him or if his head just isn't right.
Am I the only one who saw him drop a fly ball like an 8-year-old in Game 1? Everyone wants to use his defense to justify his spot in the line-up. Jackson’s had more outfield Raburn moments than Raburn has had in the playoffs.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
if not for rayburn we would have been shut out.
No one is jumping off any bandwagon, but to lose a game in such a manner with 3 more in 3 days is heartbreaking.
Injuries, offense, rain, MLB scheduling..i dunno what to blame.
who the hell is this "Rayburn" you speak of?
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
Jason Verlander's long lost cousin.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions
this, posted in original game thread
Lucas M:
is it just me or has this happened every postseason game we’ve lost so far..we get guys on base first inning, don’t cash in, and at the end of the game we look back on that as our only chance
Tough when you're giving up a free out and then banking on the law of averages to manifest
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions
Which free out?
AJax, Delmon, and VMart, quick, what have they all got in common in this series? They are all 0fer. Picking out AJax isn’t fair to him. We have 3 guys that played today that are hitting better than .250 for this series. Wanna guess who? Ramon, Donnie, and Raburn. The big boys ALL need to step it up if we’re gonna go on, not just AJax.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Bunts, Tiger, Bunts
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions
granted, the first wasn't our only chance,
but we sure do know how to squander the early opportunities.
and yet it happens again..
except this time it wasn’t only the first inning, but the second inning..and pretty much all other innings except the 3rd
The offense is still there.
Tigers had as many hits as the Rangers did until Perry came in for the bottom of the 11th inning, and gave up four hits. Seven hits apiece through ten innings, plus they added six BB’s to the Rangers 3. There was enough offense there to win this game, but they didn’t get the key hits. With Miggy and V Mart not hitting at all, this series is totally winnable. Plus the early hits by the Rangers were a string of hard hit balls that found the gaps in the outfield, while the Tigers hit found the Rangers’ gloves. This thing could totally turn around.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
so according to Tigerdog you can win series if you are 3/32 for RISP.
u can’t even win kiddie league with that kind of numbers. This is the postseason.
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions
where is the offense this postseason for the Tigers?
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not a detective. I don't know.
Cabrera is just missing some pitches and has hit a number of balls hard. Martinez is clearly fighting at least one injury (toe), maybe two, and he still drove in a huge run against NY. Delmon hit a bunch of bombs. Number of guys (Kelly, Ramon, etc) have a bunch of hits. It’s the sequencing of when they’ve hit them that’s the problem.
Avila is clearly injured (patella tendinitis reported today by Morosi) and exhausted. Peralta has been spotty.
They have a bunch of hits. They haven’t been able to string them together for a big inning.
Sometimes you just don’t have it going. I assure you it’s not for lack of effort.
I have a theory....
The Tigers have had 3 incredibly tense games ON THE ROAD over the past 5 days in 2 of the loudest, most hostile environments. It takes a lot (I think) to shut out all the distraction and get the job done. I think that once at home in a hospitable environment, the Tigers boppers will relax and we may even see an offensive explosion this evening. We have to sweep at home to make advancing to the WS a more realistic possibility.
by EriePATigersFan on Oct 11, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions
difference is thin, you are right. they dont have to score with guys like Ogando, Feliz, Adams.
our bullpen is not even close to that. So we need to score to win
by spartynation on Oct 10, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions
EARTH TO BYB
Cabrera, V-Mart, Avila, Jackson et al have had about 10 plate appearances against the Rangers. They have had about 30 total this post-season. Do I have to explain the concept of small samples again?
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
some people just don't understand small sample sizes David
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
And Some Don't Believe In Them, Like Me.
Sample Size is B.S.
Sample size does not increase or decrease a players performance at any set time.
by TigersFan1957 on Oct 11, 2011 1:11 AM EDT up reply actions
It DOESN'T increase or decrease performance.
That’s not what David is saying. What a small sample size IS is a non-representative sample of some true population value. It’s elementary statistics.
You flip a coin 10 times and get 8 heads. Is the coin fair or not? You can’t tell because the sample size is inadequate.
Flip it 100 times and get 80 heads? The sample size is adequate to make some determination.
All David is saying is that he’s frustrated that people are basing their assessment of a player on an inadequate measure of his performance. Basic elementary statistics.
Random nonsense at @Baroque97
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
exactly
it’s not BS… it’s true. For example: if someone has a .300 batting average against a pitcher in 5 AB’s, it doesn’t mean he necessarily dominates that pitcher. using the same example, if a batter has a .300 average in 40, 50, 60 AB’s it proves that in fact he does show some consistent success.
No longer the Founder, President and CEO of the Ryan Raburn Fan Club
if someone has a .300 BA in 5 ABs
he has one-and-a-half hits :)
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions
It's B.S.
Show me a batter that faces a pitcher 40 times in a season. So a season has no clear bearing on how a batter performs in a season against a pitcher, but how he hit 5 or 10 years ago is more accurate? Wrong.
One game a batter may go 3 – 4 or 4 -4. The next time or next day it could be 1 -4 or 0 – 4. This will continue over the players’ career.
Sample Size is just a set of numbers that will always fluctuate. Size is meaningless; it just shows what a player has done in the past. It can’t tell you what a player will do today.
by TigersFan1957 on Oct 11, 2011 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Flipping a Coin and Sample Size Is B.S.
Flipping a coin you will always have a 50% chance of winning & 50% chance of loosing. Sample size has noting to do with it.
A persons performance will be what it is no matter how many times they bat. Way to many varriables to account for. Playing field, pitchers performance, healt/not feeling well, weather, teams defense, luck in placing the ball when hit, situational batting such as runners on base should I bunt or hit & run, and on and on and on.
Way to much for you to calculate to come up with an accurate calculation. There for each sample is different which makes a sample size B.S..
by TigersFan1957 on Oct 12, 2011 1:12 AM EDT up reply actions
Pretty easy concept.
Small sample sizes is the only thing you’ll have if you don’t act on the bullshit AJax has shown.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
small sample size may be true
but 16 at bats in a series is still a small sample size, and its enough to get swept in a series if this offence doesnt produce, its not the regular season you cant sit around waiting for it to happen
Forget the stats
Our hitters just don’t look good.
Sample Sizes
So, should we count the Seven game series at all, since it’s a small sample size? Maybe we should just stop at the end of league play and call that a significant sample size and be done with it?
Tigers offense is awesome!
I’m happy now.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:02 PM EDT reply actions
Explain to me how Cabrera can control where the f*cking ball goes
Please.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Oct 10, 2011 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't see that in my sentences.
I told you, I’m having fun with sample sizes.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm just going to give up on this entire thread.
by Kurt Mensching on Oct 10, 2011 11:06 PM EDT reply actions
It's frustrating
A lot of people have different opinions on adjustments they would make and I guess a legitimate argument that has been adopted here at BYB is that a playoff series isn’t long enough to acknowledge when some players are hot or cold and make changes accordingly. The whole “sample size” argument works in a 162-game season, not in the playoffs when the mindset converts from a marathon to a sprint.
Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.
Hey I don't disagree
some people called sour grapes when the Yankees fans essentially made the sample size argument. Jeter damn near ended that series.
by Kurt Mensching on Oct 10, 2011 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions
That's not really it.
According to your train of thought, VMart should sit on the bench next to AJax, ‘cause they are both 0fer the series, with Delmon, who just smacked 3 HR’s in 5 games against the Yankees, right beside them.
"What's a dazzling urbanite like you doing in a rustic setting like this?" the Waco Kid
by 77bestrookieclassever on Oct 10, 2011 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions
Sorry, I think I started this.
I should probably clear up that I think we’re a pretty good team and what we accomplished this season is very, very real. I’m not going to take anything more away from that, and I’m just going to walk away saying “Go Tigers!” and “Screw the Rangers!”
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 11:08 PM EDT reply actions
It's quite cathartic at this point
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions
What is a man?
A miserable pile of small sample sizes!
"trout jefferson is using multiple numbers and no swears. I barely recognize you man." - Kurt Mensching
by Trout Jefferson on Oct 10, 2011 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions
Clutch, choke, small samples, trends, career averages, previous accomplishments
Don’t matter now.
Tigers have to win game 3. 1-0, or 16-15. Anywhere in between.
Down 3 games to none has already been done once. I doubt we’ll see it again in our lifetimes. At least not in baseball.
It’s been a marvelous, wonderful season. We’d all hate to see it end, but if we lose tomorrow it’ll still have a great feel to it. And, this team appears to me to be on an upward arc. This team isn’t on its last leg. Good times ahead.
Looking forward to tomorrow. Tigers win, and it’s a whole new deal.
Justin can now let the fungus grow back on his shower shoes.
I feel good about game 3
Home game, Fister…
As long as we get just a key hit or two, we’ll be back in the series.
The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981
BTW
Is Ryan Perry this teams Jason Grilli?
Justin can now let the fungus grow back on his shower shoes.
Watching that replay again on DK's Double
If the ball just goes to the wall, Santiago scores. It kicked out even with Cruz and that is ballgame. Ugh.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:54 PM EDT reply actions
Maybe he will be sore for the rest of the series.
Baseball: It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart.
by House by the Side of the Road on Oct 10, 2011 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Story of our games in Texas
The ball hits Andrus’ hand, rolls down his arm, and manages to stay in his glove.
The ball is hit into the corner and ricochets perfectly to Cruz instead if doing anything else.
It happens, but we aren’t far off. We are still two pretty evenly matched teams.
the rangers are a very good team
with AWESOME relief pitchers. their starting pitching is where we’ve got to get to them.
not scoring in the first inning of game one or game two was HUGE. that changes those games. big time.
our hitters HAVE struggled… but give the ranger bullpen credit too. great pitching beats great hitting. that’s baseball. we need to grind out a win. our hitters will turn it around. throwing smack talk around about our hitters “not coming through” in the playoffs is short-sighted and cynical. let’s get excited for game three! this team has been LOTS of fun all year. we should be behind them / supporting them now!
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:07 AM EDT reply actions
^This
That bullpen has been filthy and I don’t think it’s luck. It’s called a good bullpen that goes 6 pitchers deep (not 3ish, like the Tigers.)
Moving Ogando out their is huge. I’m not giving up on this team because I think they can still win this series if they get to the starters. However, I would love to have the luxury next season of having a bullpen like that.
The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981
This series is not over
And it’s because Texas doesn’t have the starting pitching depth to put us away. While solid, Matt Harrison and Colby Lewis don’t exactly bring a sense of impending doom. Fister and Porcello could EASILY take these next two games setting up a monumental game 5.
yep. you're right on.
i don’t see our tigers panicking either.
even if some fans are :)
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 1:13 AM EDT up reply actions
My thoughts on this after seeing the Lions game and having the chance to 'cool off'
Avila had a couple of ABs that could’ve easily been XBHs, and the Rangers made plays. The Kelly 2B in the 9th where Santiago doesn’t get home. It was a tough call, you risk getting out #3 at the plate with the arms they have in that outfield, but Lamont trusted Miguel to get that run in. Theres no reason not too. Sure they’re having problems getting RISP home, but the Rangers didn’t do much better in this game. Yes they got the GW run(s) in the 11TH inning, but the Tigers pretty much matched them through the 1st 10. Scherzer coming out for the bottom of the 7th was a HUGE mistake, Leyland should’ve hit the bullpen, Yes the offense is still suspect leaving all of those runners on base, but Coaching decisions are to blame as well. I’m not saying grab your torches and pitchforks and run Jimmy out of town, but some of the things he’s done have been great and some are less than stellar. We escaped some MAJOR jams tonight and we had mistakes made (namely pitching to Nelson Cruz…). We go back home for the next 3 and have Fister Porcello and Verlander, I don’t see why they can’t at the least take 2 of the 3 at home and get back to Texas. It’s not like the Tigers got blown out in these first 2 games, and the Bullpen (aside from Perry tonight) has been good enough to keep up with Texas’ bullpen. Leyland HAS to do something regarding Austin Jackson. He’s basically been feast or famine this postseason. Cabrera, V-Mart, and Peralta, they need to get their bats going or as Kurt said, may as well go home now. I don’t blame Avila completely during this postseason, Leyland is partially to blame for not giving Avila some rest, and he’s had some bad breaks hitting. The BIGGEST problem atm for the Tigers is they’re not taking pitches, and just swinging away at the first pitch, which isn’t always the best way to do it. To be successful, you need to get ahead on the count and not give up at bats (bunting included). It’s still hard to believe our best Hitters this Postseason so far are Kelly, Young, INGE, and Santiago (Maggs too but he’s gone now ): ). Pitching hasn’t been the issue, you can’t fully blame Verlander for what happened in Game 1 (in both NY & Texas). The bullpen has stepped up as I said this series. But ultimately, the issue is the offense. You can’t win games when you are 3/23 with RISP. Plan and Simple. I can see why Fister struggled in Seattle. 3 Runs/Game is not going to beat a good team like Texas every day. Offense needs to step up bigtime or we’re all gonna be sad in a few days.
Sorry again for the super-long wall-o-text. I thought I’d just get let out
Fan of the Tigers ~ Red Wings ~ Lions - No Better Town to be a sports fan of!
Fantasy Teams: Pride of Detroit Bench League (PackMules (1-3) & Winging It In Motown Mursak League - (Wingedmule)
This is the Rangers
Texas won because they played better and that they have a very very good team. They are better than the Yankees and if they win this series, then they are better than us too.
The Rangers are definitely good enough to beat us 2 games in a row, but I also believe any team can win 2 games in a row. It’s not that big of a deal. The Tigers could easily win the next 2 , 3, or 4 games because we’re very very good too. With the next 3 games at Comerica Park, we should be in the drivers seat when we head back to Texas.
I agree
It’s too early to throw in the towel. First game was a one run loss with another bizarre rain delay which effects pitchers differently and game two went two extra innings.
Not like getting creamed 12-3 like the Brewers. Home games tend to have the close ones roll your way and I think Fister will be eager to take the mound and I think he’s a better pitcher than Lewis.
and I really didn't care how the game ended either
The bases were loaded with no outs. We could lose by balk, passed ball, wild pitch, squeeze, sac fly, fielders choice, error, HBP, walk, or a hit. Same ending each way. The hit being a grand-slam didn’t make a difference in the world to me. A lose is a lose. Nothing to get heart broken over. We still have more games to play and if want to win, we’ll need to just forget about the last game and every game before that.
And NO manager in baseball is more about forgetting yesterday than Jim Leyland
As critical as I am of Crusty, I believe he will have the boys ready tonight and they will chase Colby by the third. Texas will be forced to empty their bullpen and Fister will go 8
I sure hope you are right...
because I am sure JL is not happy that Valverde had to throw 2 innings last night and is going to be very reluctant to use him tonight. Benoit threw more than an inning, as well. It would be nice to have a cushion going into the late innings so he can comfortably rest those two.
by knucklescarbone on Oct 11, 2011 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Well then, we just have to beat the crap out of Texas tonight
and win by 10 runs so Valverde can rest up for tomorrow.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Mental and Physical
These guys aren’t Gods, they’re human. A few of the more ‘sage’ folks here spoke about how fantastic they felt, and what a great thing it was to beat the Yankees and end their season. Someone even said and I paraphrase here, " I can look back at my season now as being a success, cause we beat the Yankees". Sometimes the fatigue and stress of the accomplishment takes you out of your game mentally. Sometimes the injuries keeps possibilities more limited. I believe that the greatest teams somehow find a way to get past all that. I hope Detroit can find the way. The Red Sox in ’04 made the most incredible comback against the Yankees, yet they are a great team not because of what they did to NY but because they did not show any let down, they continued that peak until the championship was theirs.
Tough, tough loss - But it ain't over til they lose two more games
OK – Saturday was just plain weird with the on again off again tarp. Anyone couldhave won that game. The Rangers did.
Last night the Tigers were in it through TEN innings, Thr frightening Rangers had scored the same amount of runs as we had until Cruz’ grand slam. The final score was 7-3 but we all no it was a helluva lot closer than that. Sure the Rangers have bats but they didn’t exactly light up the Tigers. It was a game of bullpen attrition and they won.
But tonight it is Colby Lewis, a guy we gave up on 5 years ago, against the best pitcher in basebal during August and September.
It’s October 11th and the Tigers are still playing. It was gut wrenching to lose last nights game but I still believe we lost two because of a couple of bounces. Those bounces will go our way in Comerica. This series goes back to Texas where the Tigers will destroy another visiting team clubhouse.
That is all
Agree
V-Mart gets a hit scoring 1 or most likely, 2 – then Papa Grande comes in and gets the close. That’s been the story this year, and should have happened in this game.
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Take about a mood change...
Lose two essentially 1-run games ON THE ROAD and everyone is wailing and grinding their teeth. Texas has a great pen. Yes, game two was a great chance to steal the game we need to steal on the road, but it didn’t happen. We’re still right in this. Home for three and if we hold serve we put Texas on the ropes with a repeat matchup of Game 2, which I like against Holland (horrible ’stache, bro).
Sure, the offense needs to get going — but the start and stop of Game 1 didn’t help either team and last night…meh, we were cold. Happens. We’re still in it.
I know the point of these threads is to cheer when we win and moan when we lose, but even Kurt’s write-up is so negative you’d think his dog just died. We’re not dead and buried yet. Try to keep your heads, people.
That said - I have serious issue with the decision to pitch to Cruz in the 7th last night clinging to a one-run lead. Cruz + 8&9 are due up….don’t you nibble outside to Cruz and see if he wants to get aggressive and rollover on one? If he doesn’t, give him 1st base and go after Murphy & Moreland (with Coke to match-up) and put it on Ian Kinsler to deliver with two outs. I think at that point we were where we wanted to be and could have started matching up with the ’pen. Absolutely no reason to pitch to Cruz in that spot.
Other than that, our pitching has been great., I’m encouraged by it and hope it continues at home (fingers crossed that Porcello gives us 6 quality innings tomorrow).
We win w/Fister tonight, ‘steal’ one with Porcello tomorrow and JV being JV at home and we’re on the doorstep with Scherzer & Fister in Texas. Very doable.
Go Tigers!
Baseball is like a poker game, nobody wants to quit when he's losing: nobody wants you to quit when you're ahead. ~Jackie Robinson
by LittleLeagueTiger on Oct 11, 2011 9:36 AM EDT reply actions
interesting point on scherzer pitching to cruz (and how he shouldn't have)
i don’t think we will do it again.
seems like scherzer was trying to throw high and tight to set up his offspeed stuff. but then he threw it in the same spot as JV. we can’t throw this guy fastballs. and i agree with you (in retrospect) and think cruz should be pitched around if similar situations arise through the rest of this series.
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions
Why walk Cruz?
Before Yesterday’s game, he had just 2 hits during the entire post-season. He hasn’t walked even once in the the post-season either. He’s usually one of the easiest hitters to get out in Texas’ line-up.
You walk Cruz (in the 7th) b/c he's dangerous...
…and even if he’s only had two hits during the ENTIRE (haha…five games SMALL SAMPLE) postseason, he’s Texas’ best scheduled hitter in the 7th who had the ability to tie the game in one swing of the bat. With Murphy & Moreland coming up after Cruz you have two easy(ier) outs and then you can situationally match up with Kinsler to end the inning.
Cruz has huge power that can show itself at any time - with a one run lead, why give him anything to hit? I’m not saying we should have intentionally walked him, but for G-d’s sake don’t throw him a strike — make him chase and roll over on the ball or if he has any plate discipline he earns a walk. Nibble the whole at bat…if he chases, fine. If he doesn’t, Coke pitches to Murphy & Moreland and then we play the %s on Kinsler (Benoit for a batter and then he comes back for the 8th, even).
To say that he’s ‘one of the easiest hitters to get out in Texas’ line-up’ is 1)wrong and 2)not the point here - mistakes to him tie the game. Mistakes to Murphy/Moreland go for 1B or 2B.
It’s all moot now, but I hope that if the situation presents itself again we don’t challenge Cruz when their 8/9 hitters pale by comparison.
Baseball is like a poker game, nobody wants to quit when he's losing: nobody wants you to quit when you're ahead. ~Jackie Robinson
by LittleLeagueTiger on Oct 11, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Cruz has the lowest OBP in the line-up.
I don’t know of any manager that would purposely walk the game tying run to start an inning. Maybe with 2 outs you’d pitch around a big threat, but not with zero outs. He’s not Barry Bonds or Miguel Cabrera either. Walking the lead-off hitter is not a good strategy. Only in hindsight it is.
If you’re too worried about Nelson Cruz hitting a solo HR off your starting pitcher, then that pitcher probably doesn’t belong in the majors.
Also, the purpose to get a guy to roll-over on one is to induce a double play. It doesn’t help so much with the bases empty.
OBP isn't what we're talking about here
Listen, I’m as much sabremetrosexual as the next fella, but pitching around someone with homerun power (who also showed it the day before and on a double earlier in the game) isn’t equating him to Cabrera or Bonds. But if you want to make gross hyperboles, that’s fine.
Cruz is a slow runner with a big pull-happy bat. Akin to Shelly Duncan. Pitch around = don’t groove strikes. It also means don’t challenge high or challenge inside. Yes, walking the lead-off batter isn’t the best case scenario, but I’m not saying Cruz accepts the walk. Why we would challenge him is my point. He hits tons of homers.
Also, getting a guy to roll-over on one is a way to get him to hit a slow grounder. Yes, sometimes that produces a double play (when men are on base), sometimes it just gets you an easy 5-3 or 6-3. That’s the purpose — easy ground out. Throwing down and away from a powerful bat doesn’t mean that our starting pitcher doesn’t belong in the majors (by that logic JV doesn’t belong in the majors…DUCY?), it means being smart while pitching to avoid things like game tying homers when weak hitting batters are due up next and in the hole.
Baseball is like a poker game, nobody wants to quit when he's losing: nobody wants you to quit when you're ahead. ~Jackie Robinson
by LittleLeagueTiger on Oct 11, 2011 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Also the count was 1 ball - 2 strikes when Cruz hit the HR
The 3 previous pitchers were sliders. The 4 seamer that Cruz hit was probably supposed to be located up and away off the plate to get him to chase it. I’m pretty sure Scherzer didn’t mean to groove one.
He grooved three of them
two foul balls, including one 400 foot foul ball, and the home run. Before that, three base hits. Batting practice. Perry didn’t have it, but what else did we have once all three of our decent relievers had been used up?
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Yeah, I know what the count was...
…making it even worse that he’d challenge him with a four-seamer at all. down and away for three pitches and let Cruz get himself out. If he chooses to lay off all three he’d have earned the base on balls. But even that result wouldn’t have been horrible GIVEN WHO WAS COMING UP — the whole point: look at who is coming up and pick your posion. N. Cruz wasn’t who we wanted to challenge there. Murphy & Moreland were.
Baseball is like a poker game, nobody wants to quit when he's losing: nobody wants you to quit when you're ahead. ~Jackie Robinson
by LittleLeagueTiger on Oct 11, 2011 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions
whatever
I still think you’re wrong to pitch around him when there are no outs.
Fister owned Cruz
Can you see now that good pitchers (like Scherzer, Verlander, or Fister) should go after a hitter like Cruz, and not pitch around him.
by Keith-Allen on Oct 12, 2011 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions
all that sounds right, but does this team have left anything in the tank?
Yes Red sox did it in 2004. Can these depleted Tigers do it?
The 2004 Red Sox came back from down 3-0
Let’s not get ahead of ourselves with the negativity. We are down 2-0. It’s a big difference.
Reading this whole thread was sickening...
What’s wrong with the fans right now? BYB is in a real dark place right now.
David everything you’re saying is true, but unfortunately this time of year emotion and panic seems to trump sound, rational reasoning.
by JWurm on Oct 11, 2011 10:36 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Rec'd
I couldn’t believe the game thread at the start yesterday….people were bitching and whining like we were the fucking Washington Nationals. We are in the ALCS after defeating the mighty Yankees in a sudden death game at their place. People are ready to jump ship and complain about what losers everybody wearing the English D is, and blah, blah, blah, fucking blah. Constructive criticism is fine, and there has been plenty to criticize, but Go to M Live if you just want to bitch.
We’re coming home. I see it as we MUST win ‘em all. And we can. Fister throws a great one tonight, bats come alive, we win a laugher, 8-1, key guys in the bullpen rest. Kid Rick has gotta come thru tommorrow, and I was very encouraged at what I saw on Saturday from him. Bats are still cranking……home crowd has got the guys feeling it again. 6-4 Tigers…..Papa makes us sweat one out, but we even the series. Thursday. Best pitcher in the fucking game shows why he’s the best pitcher in the fucking game. 3-0 Tigers. Back to Texas.
"i think it will be mostly feast the rest of the year,"
I like it.......and I believe it.
Porcello is something of the wildcard starting pitching-wise between Fister and Verlander, but I liked what I saw from him coming out of the ’pen in Game 1. His stuff was on and filthy, the way Rick CAN pitch when right. He has done well against Texas in his brief career. Bats should wake up at home, as the last 3 games (including clincher in ALDS) have been super-tense in loud, small band-box stadiums with hostile crowds. The change to HOME will/should be tremendous. BELIEVE!!
by EriePATigersFan on Oct 11, 2011 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions
let's win game three first
but if rick struggles AT ALL in game 4, one would assume that our FULL bullpen we be at leyland’s disposal (fister generally goes deep into games then justin’’s pitching gm5 and then an off day). i think there’s every reason to believe that porcello will pitch well (he seems to relish big games), but just wanted to note that.
and no, i don’t count brad penny as part of the bullpen.
by situationalbuntingapologist on Oct 11, 2011 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Texas did
what they were expected to do. Win games at home. Now it’s Detroit’s turn to do the samething. Tigers manage to win their home games, it will put up all the pressure on Texas. Starts tonight, Go TIgers!

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