Jhonny Peralta performed above expectations in 2011
Just like last year, we'll be grading all the Tigers who contributed significant playing time over the course of the season, starting with the position players, then doing the rotation members, and finally finishing up with the bullpen and writing profiles for players without enough playing time to earn a grade. Each list will run in alphabetical order. These reviews will occasionally dip into sabermetrics so we can get a better idea why things happened, but I'll try to explain as we go through things.
Jhonny Peralta
I must admit, Jhonny Peralta's season was a bit of a surprise. It's not that he hadn't hit well in the past. He had. It's not that he was an awful shortstop in the past. (Unless you ask Cleveland, anyway.)
Odds were just not in favor of a 29-year-old Peralta recapturing his youth at the level he did. His batting average (.299) was a career high. His OPS (.824) was the second-highest of his career. His wOBA (and weighed Runs Created) were the second best of his career. His strikeout rate was the lowest of his career.
What about fielding? His UZR (9.9) was easily the best of his career and among the top three in the American League. (However, if you look at Defensive Runs Saved you'll find a totally different story: -4 compared to the average shortstop.) That's kind of an extreme disagreement in stats. But in any case, Peralta did the job without looking bad at the position.
So in the end, you have to credit him for a wonderful 2011 season, but you've got to be cautious about expecting a repetition of that season next year.
A
At the plate:
Peralta compares quite favorably with his fellow shortstops. He finished fourth in average and slugging average (.478) in the MLB, and seventh in on-base percentage (.344). He was fourth in home runs (21). Go a bit more hardcore sabermetric and he was third in wOBA (.353).
One of the big differences in Peralta's batting game was a decrease in ground ball rate and an increase in fly balls. So while his home run per fly ball rate basically stayed level, the increase in fly balls meant he hit six more home runs. He actually hit fewer doubles than in recent years, and he remained on the very low end of triples. But he saw his ISO jump up thanks to the home runs.
Meanwhile, he managed to turn contact into a lot more hits than in recent years. His BABIP of .325 sounds repeatable enough, but we should note his xBABIP was .299. (Blame the flyball rate for that. He did get his line drive rate up to 22%). So there may have been some luck in there.
In the field:
Like I've frequently said, fielding metrics are hard to use. You don't want to rely on any single one too much, and their level of disagreement makes you really wonder about any of them. But they're what we've got. So Peralta finished fourth in UZR/150 games (10.7) among major league shortstops who played at least 1000 innings this year. However, his -4 rating in Defensive Runs Saved would indicate a below-average season compared to his peers. We can say this much about him at the minimum: He didn't make many errors. Peralta's .989 fielding percentage (another flawed defensive stat) was the best of his career.
The fan's scouting report rated him 59 (50 is average), noting he has an above average arm. However, that 59 ranks him below average compared to fellow shortstops.
In 2012:
I don't know that we're going to see a huge drop-off in Peralta's numbers. It's not like he was a guy who couldn't hit and suddenly discovered how. He was a guy who could hit and who seemed to get stuck in a funk for a couple of seasons who rediscovered his stroke after being traded to Detroit.
However, I'd advise caution on having expectations too high. Peralta might be an above-average hitting shortstop overall, but numbers somewhat like 2007 and 2008 might be more reasonable to expect. So I'll say a 275 average, .335 OBP and .450 slugging is a good starting point.
As for his glove, I don't think we'll see a remarkably different player. I don't think he's as good as his UZR said he was this year, but he seemed to make the plays he needed to just fine and that's good enough for me.
21 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
B+ For me, the surprising performance of the season by a Tiger
Jhonny rebounded to his previous All Star level production at the plate, and was much better defensively than anyone could have hoped. But he is still not an A player. He lacks speed and range in a key defensive position, and he’s not the type of slugger, like a Cabrera, to warrant an A. Very solid season from Jhonny. Now, let’s get Jhoel.
"King of Minutiae"
'A' for the season
Might be higher than A if there was a designation as the comparison to who he replaced-Adam Everett- keeps popping up and Peralta has nasty comparative numbers indeed.
Jhonny was my surprise performer back at the All Star break
My opinion of him did not change. He gets an A from me.
"Some guy told me I should walk with the Lord. I'd rather walk with the bases loaded" Ken Singleton
You misspelled Jhonny.
"You, on the other hand, make Eeyore look like Rainbow Brite." -johnmoz
"I think of you more as the blue book style essay of sports journalism."-Kurt Mensching
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on Nov 9, 2011 12:00 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
LOL
I wouldn’t say that I misspelled Johnny.
by Kurt Mensching on Nov 9, 2011 12:16 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I was going to say A-
But I don’t have any real reason to knock him down from an A, so he gets an A.
I gave him an A- because of his second half.
You’d like to see more full year consistency. His 2nd half OPS was pretty pedestrian, for whatever reason.
B+
If I graded on expectations, I’d probably give him an A, but I grade based on straight performance. I’ll give him a B+ because I think his fielding is just about average at an important position. I’d might have given him an A anyway if he hadn’t slowed down in the second half.
"A"
I gave Jhonny Peralta an “A” because he earned it. He performed above my expectations. Finished the season batting .299, 21 HR’s, 86 RBI’s, Fielding .988 only 7 errors & helped turn 83 DP’s from SS.
Pretty Good In My Opinion.
I agree 100%
You couldn’t of ask for a better year out of him.A lot of people were down on him before the season.He has a good bat and some power and fielded his postion better then expected.
A
Jhonny done exactly what I was hoping he’d do. He always had the ability to put up solid numbers, but I thought he just lacked motivation and leadership. He is a follower by nature. With Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, Magglio Ordonez, Justin Verlander, and Jose Valverde there were plenty of leaders for him to follow. He is only as good as the players around him. Put him in a good line-up and he will excel. Put him in a poor line-up and he will flutter.
Ditto with Delmon Young.
Sue Grafton gives him an "A is for Awesomeness"
(Talk about the worst series of books ever written)
Justin can now let the fungus grow back on his shower shoes.
Peralta was tremendous, last year.
I would give him an A-. However, I would expect a decent drop off both offensively and in errors committed at SS. That makes it imperative that the team upgrades at 3B or 2B with a trade (since the FA market is barren).
Solid A
And perhaps the most under-rated infielder in baseball this year. Let’s hope he can approximate this year’s performance in ’12.
by knucklescarbone on Nov 9, 2011 11:18 PM EST reply actions
He's had plenty of outcomes to suggest he will
But will he? That is … the question.
Justin can now let the fungus grow back on his shower shoes.
B bordering on an A
He had a great year. His second half was not quite as good. His defense and hitting were way better than anything he’s ever done. My hope is that his upward arc continues, but my belief is that we will see a slight drop in both hitting and defense. Nothing drastic to warrant looking for a replacement. I hope I’m wrong.
Country Strong
B
He was good, but he faded, and was a no-show in the playoffs. He exceeded expectations, but he’s no Carlos Guillen in his prime.
I doubt his fielding will continue to be this good, but hey.
Anyone who watches AJax knows that DRS is better than UZR, eh? :P
I gave him a B
The hitting was really surprising and he performed very well.
I believe his fielding average is one of those stats that is very misleading. Jhonny caught most everything he got to. But for me he didn’t get to a lot of balls, that became singles, that other shortstops reached.
My son pointed out to me how critical his lack of range can be and how obvious it is at times. During one of the playoff games against the Yankees that illustrated this. Yankee hitters on two seperate occasions hit singles to the left of the second base. Perralta made a diving attempt but the balls were just out of his reach. During the same game Tiger batters hit ground balls to essentially the exact same spot that old Derek Jeter scooped up (without diving) and fired to first for the outs.
I know positioning plays a role in how whether or not a shortstop gets to a ball, and perhaps Jhonny was positioned wrong on both plays but….
Do I think the Tigers need a shortstop – of course not. He was usually the best infielder playing for the Tigers during any game. I’d give that nod to Miggy if not for the multiple times he ranged too far into the second basemens area and made easy plays for Ramon Santiago look difficult. Some day Cabrera’s tendency to be a third baseman playing first is going to get a pitcher hurt
But that’s a different thread

by 




















