How we see things: BYB writers project the season
It's predictions time! Last year, some of our prognosticators were pretty prescient. Will we be again? One thing is for sure, there's a lot of consistency in some of our picks, notably how many games the Tigers will win. So here, we share how we think things will go. Click the full post to have a copy of the categories and fill in your own prognostications!
Tigers projections
| Category | Kurt | Allison | Big Al | Matt W | David | Matt L |
| Tigers record: | 90-72 | 88-74 | 90-72 | 88-74 | 86-76 | 93-69 |
| Tigers division rank: | 1st | 1st | 1st | 1st | 2nd | 1st |
| How far the team goes | ALCS | WS | ALDS | ALCS | Game 162 | ALCS |
| First call-up | Weinhardt | Weinhardt | Sizemore | Weinhardt | Sizemore | Wilk |
| Best surprise player: | Wells | Wells | Avila | Coke | Sizemore | Raburn |
| Best new acquisition: | Benoit | Benoit | Martinez | Martinez | Martinez | Benoit |
| Best rookie | Oliver | Wells | Wells | Oliver | Sizemore | Wilk |
| Best season overall | Verlander | Cabrera | Cabrera | Verlander | Verlander | Cabrera |
AL projections
| Category | Kurt | Allison | Big Al | Matt W | David | Matt L |
| AL East | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox |
| AL Central | Tigers | Tigers | Tigers | Tigers | Twins | Tigers |
| AL West | A's | A's | Rangers | A's | Rangers | Rangers |
| AL Wildcard: | Rays | Twins | Yankees | Rays | Yankees | Yankees |
| AL RoY | Jeremy Hellickson | Hellickson | Hellickson | Nishioka | Jesus Montero | Hellickson |
| AL Cy Young | Justin Verlander |
Verlander | Jon Lester | Verlander | Verlander | Lester |
| AL MVP | Evan Longoria | Cabrera | Cabrera | Gonzalez | Gonzalez | Longoria |
| AL Champion | Red Sox | Tigers | Rangers | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox |
NL projections:
| Category | Kurt | Allison | Big Al | Matt W | David | Matt L |
| NL East | Phillies | Phillies | Phillies | Braves | Phillies | Phillies |
| NL Centra | Brewers | Reds | Brewers | Reds | Reds | Cardinals |
| NL West | Giants | Rockies | Rockies | Rockies | Rockies | Giants |
| NL Wildcard: | Braves | Braves | Braves | Phillies | Braves | Braves |
| NL RoY | Dom Brown | Bryce Harper | Aroldis Chapman | Freddie Freeman | Mike Minor | Craig Kimbrel |
| NL Cy Young | Cliff Lee | Roy Halladay | Josh Johnson | Josh Johnson | Halladay | Halladay |
| NL MVP | Albert Pujols | Troy Tulowitzki | Pujols | Ryan Zimmerman | Tulowitzki | Pujols |
| NL Champion | Braves | Rockies | Phillies | Braves | Rockies | Phillies |
World Series Winner
| Category | Kurt | Allison | Big Al | Matt W | David | Matt L |
| WORLD SERIES | Red Sox | Tigers | Phillies | Red Sox | Red Sox | Red Sox |
YOUR TURN!
Tigers:
Tigers record:
Tigers rank in division:
How far the Tigers go this season:
First call-up:
Tigers rookie of the year:
Best surprise player:
Best new acquisition:
Best season overall:
MLB:
AL East winner:
AL Central winner:
AL West winner:
AL wildcard:
AL MVP:
AL Cy Young:
AL ROY:
AL champion:
NL East winner:
NL Central winner:
NL West winner:
NL wildcard:
NL MVP:
NL Cy Young:
NL ROY:
NL champion:
World Series winner:
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Tigers:
Tigers record: 87-75
Tigers rank in division: 2nd
How far the Tigers go this season: Game 162
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Villarreal
Best surprise player: Raburn
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: White Sox (urgh…)
AL West winner: Rangers
AL wildcard: Rays
AL MVP: Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Verlander
AL ROY: Michael Pineda
AL champion: Boston
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Cincinnati
NL West winner: Rockies
NL wildcard: Braves
NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez
NL Cy Young: Halladay
NL ROY: Freddie Freeman
NL champion: Cincinnati
World Series winner: Cincinnati
Guess I'm the pessimist
Tigers:
Tigers record: 83-79
Tigers rank in division: 3rd
How far the Tigers go this season: Regular Season and out
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Wells
Best surprise player: Ryan Raburn…think he’s got a good season in him with regular time
Best new acquisition: Benoit
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: White Sox
AL West winner: A’s, as the Rangers falter without Cliff Lee anchoring the rotation
AL wildcard: Yankees
AL MVP: Robinson Cano
AL Cy Young: Verlander (go homer pick!)
AL ROY: Hellickson (going with the popular pick here)
AL champion: Yankees take it from the wild card
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Brewers
NL West winner: Rockies
NL wildcard: Braves
NL MVP: Pujols
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Aroldis chapman
NL champion: Braves
World Series winner: Braves. I just made that up. But I think it’d be funny if they won the year after Bobby Cox retired. And if the Yankees lost in the World Series.
Can the Red Wings make it 5 in 15 years? Here's hoping!
81 wins
Tigers:
Tigers record: 81-81
Tigers rank in division: 3rd
How far the Tigers go this season: Game 162
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: ?
Best surprise player: Villarreal
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: Twins
AL West winner: Rangers
AL wildcard: Yankees
AL champion: Boston
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Milwaukee
NL West winner: SF
NL wildcard: Braves
NL champion: Phillies
World Series winner: Phillies
I do my best to not be a homer (and to be pessimistic)
Tigers:
Tigers record: 86-76
Tigers rank in division: 2nd
How far the Tigers go this season: Game 162
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Sizemore
Best surprise player: Sizemore
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Red Sox
AL Central winner: White Sox (I will continue my attempts to jinx you bastards)
AL West winner: A’s
AL wildcard: Yankees
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Jeremy Hellickson
AL champion: Red Sox
NL East winner: Braves
NL Central winner: Brewers
NL West winner: Rockies
NL wildcard: Phillies
NL MVP: Pujols
NL Cy Young: Josh Johnson
NL ROY: Freddie Freeman
NL champion: Braves
World Series winner: Braves
Always the pessimist.
Yet the first to get fired up. I’m going to rub it in your face you know. Every time you start getting a little bit hopeful ;)
I look on you picks, Ozymandius, and despair . . .
“Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare
The lone and level sands stretch far away.”
by rea on Mar 29, 2011 9:59 AM EDT reply actions 3 recs
Tigers:
Tigers record: 89-73
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: World Series
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Does Rhymes count? Otherwise Wells
Best surprise player: Peralta
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Red Sox
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: A’s
AL wildcard: Yankees
AL MVP: Cabrera
AL Cy Young: David Price
AL ROY: Nishioka
AL champion: Tigers
NL East winner: Braves
NL Central winner: Cardinals
NL West winner: Giants
NL wildcard: Phillies
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Matt Cain
NL ROY: Aroldis Chapman
NL champion: Giants
World Series winner: Tigers (duh)
Rhymes is not rookie eligible
A player is a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has:
* more than 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the Major Leagues, or
* more than 45 days on a Major League active roster during the 25-man limit period (April-August), excluding time on the disabled list.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
I hope you're all smarter than I
Tigers:
Tigers record: 83-78 (rainout not made up)
Tigers rank in division: 3rd (7.5 games back)
How far the Tigers go this season: Late August-y
First call-up: Zumaya (Worth if that doesn’t count)
Tigers rookie of the year: Oliver
Best surprise player: Coke
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Sox
AL Central winner: Sox
AL West winner: RangerSox
AL wildcard: Twins
AL MVP: Youkilis
AL Cy Young: Felix
AL ROY: Carlos Santana
AL champion: White Sox
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Reds
NL West winner: Padres
NL wildcard: Rockies
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Lincecum
NL ROY: Brandon Beachy
NL champion: Reds
World Series winner: Reds
YOUR TURN!
Tigers:
Tigers record: 86-76
Tigers rank in division: 2nd
How far the Tigers go this season: 162 games
First call-up: ?
Tigers rookie of the year: Wells
Best surprise player: Inge
Best new acquisition: Benoit
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Red Sox
AL Central winner: White Sox
AL West winner: A’s
AL Wild card: Yankee$
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Jesus Montero
AL champion: Red Sox
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Brewers
NL West winner: Rockies
NL Wild card: Braves
NL MVP: Howard
NL Cy Young: Halladay
NL ROY: Chapman
NL champion: Rockies
World Series winner: Red Sox
Oh boy. Here I go!
Tigers:
Tigers record: 90-72
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: WS
First call-up:Weinhardt/Sizemore
Tigers rookie of the year: Wells
Best surprise player: Raburn
Best new acquisition: Martinez
Best season overall: Verlander (though I think Porcello will be back to the pitcher we knew in 2009)
MLB:
AL East winner: Red Sox
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: Rangers
AL Wild Card: Rays (in your face Yankees!)
AL MVP: Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Verlander
AL ROY: Carlos Santana (this is the Indians’ catcher, right?)
AL Champion: Tigers
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Cardinals
NL West winner: Giants
NL Wild Card: Braves
NL MVP: Pujols
NL Cy Young: Halladay
NL ROY: ? (I barely follow the NL, so I have no clue)
NL Champion: Phillies
World Series winner: Tigers (in 7 games)
There is no offseason.
My icon was drawn by Samara Pearlstein, talented artist/blogger at Roar of the Tigers.
by Tigers&WingsFan on Mar 29, 2011 10:56 AM EDT reply actions
Carlos is not eligible, either
Or I’d have picked him, too. He had 150 AB’s in 2010.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Wow
He did, didn’t he? Sheesh… I need to change a couple of my picks.
by Let's do this! on Mar 30, 2011 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions
here goes nothing
Tigers:
Tigers record: 88-74
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALCS
First call-up: Danny Worth
Tigers rookie of the year: Casper Wells
Best surprise player: Alex Avila
Best new acquisition: Victor Martinez
Best season overall: Miguel Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: Angels
AL wildcard: Yankees
AL MVP: Carl Crawford
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Jake McGee
AL champion: Red Sox
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Brewers
NL West winner: Rockies
NL wildcard: Braves
NL MVP: Carlos Gonzales
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Mike Dominquez
NL champion: Philles
World Series winner: Phillies
"I'm a simple man. I like pretty, dark-haired women and breakfast food" - Ron Swanson
by rock n rye on Mar 29, 2011 11:00 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
*Matt Dominquez for NL ROY
derp
"I'm a simple man. I like pretty, dark-haired women and breakfast food" - Ron Swanson
by rock n rye on Mar 29, 2011 12:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Mike must be his evil twin
you know, like Jason Verlander?
Can the Red Wings make it 5 in 15 years? Here's hoping!
Tigers record: 90 – 72
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALDS
First call-up: Robbie Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Casper Wells
Best surprise player: Ryan Raburn
Best new acquisition: Victor Martinez
Best season overall: Max Scherzer
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston Red Sox
AL Central winner: Detroit Tigers
AL West winner: Oakland Athletics
AL Wildcard: New York Yankees
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Jeremy Hellickson
AL Champion: Boston Red Sox
NL East winner: Philadelphia Phillies
NL Central winner: Cincinnati Reds
NL West winner: San Francisco Giants
NL Wildcard: Atlanta Braves
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Craig Kimbrel
NL champion: Atlanta Braves
World Series winner: Boston Red Sox
Editor-In-Chief The Motor City Malcontent, Twitter
by Sean T. Johnston on Mar 29, 2011 11:51 AM EDT reply actions
I predicted the best record??
Where’s the optimistic people at?
by MatthewLaFave on Mar 29, 2011 11:53 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
Well, you guys are an optimistic bunch!
I’ve already spilled my guts on why I think the Tigers will win the Central.
Tigers record: 89-73
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALDS
First call-up: Worth
Tigers rookie of the year: Oliver
Best surprise player: Ryan Raburn
Best new acquisition: Victor Martinez
Best season overall: Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: Rangers
AL wildcard: Yankers
AL MVP: Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Verlander
AL ROY: Desmond Jennings
AL champion: Boston
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Brewers
NL West winner: Dodgers
NL wildcard: Rockies
NL MVP: Carlos Gonzalez
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Domonic Brown
NL champion: Phillies
World Series winner: Red Sox
Most likely to regress: Austin Jackson
Most likely to tank: Jhonny Peralta
Most surprising event: Carlos Guillen plays > 100 games
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
I want so badly to disagree with you on Austin Jackson,
but I don’t think I can. I think he’ll make incremental improvements in BB%, SO%, and ISO, but I don’t think they’ll be enough to overcome a dip in BABIP. I predict a .280/.335/.395 line for AJax, with a BABIP around .360. And awesome defense, of course.
He should still have a high BABIP
because he’s a line drive hitter, but that BABIP he had last year was just sick!
He can start to offset the drop in OBP by figuring out what NOT to swing at, turning some K’s into BB’s, (same as Boesch), then increase his contact percentage and turn some K’s into hits.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Agreed.
Several projection systems (Bill James and Marcel) still see him with a BABIP around .380, which seems a bit high to me. Still, barring bad luck, he should have one of the highest BABIPs in the league due to the LD% and his speed. The two projection systems mentioned above both have him improving in most categories (BB%, K%, OBP, SLG, etc.), which is especially interesting to me since Marcel is generally very pessimistic with hitters. Personally, I expect good value from AJax, but more from his position and fielding than from his hitting.
Fairly close prediction
Record 92-70, for 2nd place, 162 games, First call-up Oliver, Raburn for surprise player,
VMart for best free agent, best rookie Rhymes, Best overall Cabrera.
Weren't there more categories last year?
Tigers:
Tigers record: 87-75
Tigers rank in division: 1st
I think we have a pretty weak division and we’re all gonna get beat up by the East
How far the Tigers go this season: playoffs
First call-up: I don’t know
Tigers rookie of the year: Wells
Best surprise player: Raburn will surprise the rest of the league, but I don’t think it will be a surprise to most of us. I think we will be surprised by Brad Penny.
Best new acquisition: Benoit
Best season overall: Verlander/Cabrera
Rooting for Tiger stripes, not pinstripes
Tigers:
Tigers record: 86-76
Tigers rank in division: 2nd
How far the Tigers go this season: September 24th
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Casper Wells
Best surprise player: Casper Wells
Best new acquisition: V-Mart
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Red Sox
AL Central winner: Twins :(
AL West winner: Mariners
AL wildcard: Tigers
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez
AL Cy Young: King Felix
AL ROY: Carlos Santana
AL champion: Red Sox
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Reds
NL West winner: Giants
NL wildcard: Braves
NL MVP: Ryan Howard
NL Cy Young: Lincecum
NL ROY: Chapman
NL champion: Braves
World Series winner: Red Sox
Call me an ultra-optimist but what the heck, I can dream can't I?
Tigers:
Tigers record: 98-64
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALCS (lose in 7 all games in extra innings)
First call-up: Danny Worth
Tigers rookie of the year: Andy Oliver
Best surprise player: Danny Worth (for President)
Best new acquisition: Benoit
Best season overall: Cabrera (Regular season MVP, ALDS MVP, Triple Crown)
MLB:
AL East winner: NY Yankees
AL Central winner: Detroit Tigers
AL West winner: Texas Rangers
AL wildcard: Boston Red Sox
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
AL ROY: Jeremy Helickson
AL champion: NY Yankees
NL East winner: Philadelphia Phillies
NL Central winner: Milwaukee Brewers
NL West winner: San Francisco Giants
NL wildcard: Atlanta Braves
NL MVP: Albert Pujols (goes by default)
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Brandon Belt
NL champion: San Francisco Giants
World Series winner: NY Yankees (in 6)
I like Allison's optimism. I'm right there with you.
Tigers:
Tigers record: 90-72
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALCS
First call-up: Danny Worth
Tigers rookie of the year: Casper Wells
Best surprise player: Phil Coke
Best new acquisition: Joaquin Benoit
Best season overall: Miguel Cabrera
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston Red Sox
AL Central winner: Detroit Tigers
AL West winner: Texas Rangers
AL wildcard: New York Yankees
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Chris Sale
AL champion: Detroit Tigers
NL East winner: Philadelphia Phillies
NL Central winner: Milwaukee Brewers
NL West winner: San Francisco Giants
NL wildcard: Colorado Rockies
NL MVP: Carlos Gonzalez
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Brandon Belt
NL champion: Colorado Rockies
World Series winner: Detroit Tigers (in six)
by ivantopumpyouup on Mar 29, 2011 5:19 PM EDT reply actions
This is the Year!
Tigers:
Tigers record: 89-73
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: World Series
First call-up: Weinhardt
Tigers rookie of the year: Wells
Best surprise player: Raburn
Best new acquisition: Benoit
Best season overall: Verlander
MLB:
AL East winner: Boston
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: A’s
AL wildcard: New York
AL MVP: Cabrera
AL Cy Young: Verlander
AL ROY: Hellickson
AL champion: Tigers
NL East winner: Phillies
NL Central winner: Cardinals
NL West winner: Giants
NL wildcard: Braves
NL MVP: Pujols
NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
NL ROY: Freddie Freeman
NL champion: Phillies
World Series winner: Tigers in 6
April 1st already?
Tigers will be lucky to match last year’s record.
w/r/t the offense: they added an over-the-hill catcher who can’t hit in Comerica and brought back guys who are getting worse and worse (both at the plate and in the field, Inge and Maggs) as well as another former Indian who can’t hit in Comerica. Well done, Dave.
The pitching rotation has exactly 1 pitcher who pitched as a starter for the entire 2010 season. Followed by 2 guys who were so bad at times last season they needed to be sent down to AAA, a converted set up guy who has limited experience as a starter and a free agent who will goldbrick on the beach with his super model gf for the rest of the season when he sustains the slightest injury.
Your user name should be downinthedumps
…and a free agent who will goldbrick on the beach with his super model gf for the rest of the season when he sustains the slightest injury.
We re-signed Matt Treanor?
by handsomerob1 on Mar 29, 2011 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions
Debbie Downerinthezone
"I'm a simple man. I like pretty, dark-haired women and breakfast food" - Ron Swanson
You could never be confused for an optimist.
Why all the gloom and doom.The Tigers have a very good team this year.One of the best i’ve seen since 1984.
You are the zero
in the confidence poll, aren’t you?
I was for the Alexander trade when it happened, and I'd do 'er again!
by 77bestrookieclassever on Mar 29, 2011 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions
oh, downinthezone. so this is where you ended up
Man, how PO’d are you going to be if the Tigers prove you wrong?
by ivantopumpyouup on Mar 30, 2011 4:49 AM EDT up reply actions
Little late
But it’s better than never!
Tigers:
Tigers record: 86-76
Tigers rank in division: 1st
How far the Tigers go this season: ALCS
First call-up: Danny Worth
Tigers rookie of the year: Daniel Schlereth
Best surprise player: Jhonny Peralta (his defense will be better than we all anticipate!)
Best new acquisition: Joaquin Benoit
Best season overall: Max Scherzer
MLB:
AL East winner: Tampa Bay Rays
AL Central winner: Detroit Tigers
AL West winner: Oakland A’s
AL wildcard: BoSox
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
AL ROY: Carlos Santana
AL champion: Tampa Bay Rays
NL East winner: Atlanta
NL Central winner: Milwaukee
NL West winner: Colorado
NL wildcard: Cincy
NL MVP: Joey votto
NL Cy Young: Ubaldo Jimenez
NL ROY: Craig Kimbrel
NL champion: Milwaukee
World Series winner: Milwaukee
Check that
Instead of Santana I’m going with Chris Carter.
by Let's do this! on Mar 30, 2011 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions

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