If you have a queasy feeling about the Tigers...you are not alone
Friday afternoon, the Tigers traded Scott Sizmore for David Purcey, and announced Ryan Raburn would take over the position on a full-time basis....and the fan base exploded.
But why did the trade of a below average 2nd baseman have fans on the verge of breaking out torches and pitchforks? I'll try to explain my feelings.
First off, I'll say this about giving up on Sizemore. If given the choice between a young slumping position player with league average upside and mediocre at best middle reliever with a career 5+ ERA, I’ll ride it out with the position player…for more than a month, anyway. And if you're going to play someone hitting .200 at 2nd, I would prefer it be the player who could actually field the position. Raburn isn't that player.
But the trade and fallout is not the big issue.
This trade bothered me, but not for the fact the Tigers gave up am everyday position player for a failed starter turned middle reliever. (Though how many left handed relievers does a bullpen need?) I'm not at all enthused by Raburn becoming the everyday 2nd baseman, when defensive stats show he may be the worst glove man in the major leagues at the position...and he's hitting .100 for the month of May.
But that's not why I'm upset either...though it sure doesn't improve my mood.
I think what's bothering myself and the fan base is the trade continues what is appartently a system wide failure to set a plan, and stick with it.
Over the past few seasons, there have been a constant stream of mid-season position changes, young players falling out of favor faster than you can say David Purcey, and a sense of there being no plan at all…or if there is a plan, it is constantly changing from season to season, if not month to month.
For example...
Miguel Cabrera will be our 3rd baseman, and we'll move Brandon Inge to catcher. Wait, Cabrera is not physically capable of playing 3rd, and Inge is pouting, so let's move Cabrera to 1st and Inge back to 3rd.
Carlos Guillen is our full-time shortstop...no, left fielder...uh, rather 1st baseman...I mean 3rd baseman...rather, a DH...I mean, he's our 2nd baseman, and he's going to stay there!
If we overload on the offensive side of the ball, we don't have to worry so much about defense! What? That didn't work? No problem, let's overcompensate by improving the defense, but letting the offense wither on the vine! You know, Adam Everett is a great defender! But he can't hit a lick? Let's waive him mid-season.
The payroll is over $120M! We need to go into cost cutting mode! Sorry, we can't afford to sign Placido Polanco at $6M per season. Wait, we need a corner outfielder? OK, lets sign Johnny Damon for $8M, and raise the payroll!
We'll build our bullpen by drafting then developing players in the minor leagues. In fact, let's base the 2008 draft around relief pitchers! But lets fill the most important bullpen roles by signing a closer in Jose Valverde and a setup man in Joaquin Benoit for crazy long-term money, despite the fact relievers are mercurial by nature, and can wildly fluctuate in performance from season to season...and lose a 1st round draft pick in the process.
Guillen is our 2nd baseman...if he's healthy. Oh, he's not? Will Rhymes is our 2nd baseman! No, Scott Sizemore is our 2nd baseman! No, forget that, Ryan Raburn is now our 2nd baseman for the foreseeable future...unless Guillen comes around. Or if we decide we like Danny Worth better. Or if we decide Ramon Santiago finally deserves a long look...but only for so long, just in case Guillen is ready for the 2nd half...
You know, you'd think the Tigers have a GM and manager on the last year of their contracts, and are trying damn near anything, hoping something sticks in order to snag contract extensions....
Some of these moves worked, and worked well. But many of them didn't. Even worse, they left me feeling like the Tigers are bi-polar. I've gotten whiplash from trying to follow all the changes in philosophy.
A plan? We don't need no stinking plan! Why bother when we change course several times a season?
After the Sizemore trade, Dombrowski all but said he's trying to win now, saying the team is not in developmental mode. That's all well and good. But it also begs a question. If you are in win now mode, when are you going to start winning?
Dombrowski has been given, once again, a $100M+ payroll. Even better, the Tigers are in a lousy division being led by an fraudulent Indians team, while the Twins and White Sox are having down seasons…yet, the Tigers still have trouble doing anything more than playing .500 baseball.
That's fine...if playing .500 ball was your plan all along.
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I dunno, man.
Hindsight is always 20/20. If you try to summarize the recent history of most teams in the bigs the same way you did, you’re bound to uncover the same type of apparent inconsistency.
Often, we come out of Spring Training with a 25-man roster, erroneously believing that, alright, this is the roster, see you in September. We don’t immediately think about the injuries, underperformances, overperformances, trades, random tsunamis, all that stuff which can cause a lot of turnover in the roster. To look at this longitudinally over several years, of course you’re going to see myriad changes, and when they’re distilled like this, it’s gonna look bananas.
The question is, are these changes really that much more drastic/inconsistent/haphazard than your average team? At first blink the answer is yes, because all we see in other rosters are the bedrocks like Jeter, Thome, Rivera and Pujols. But, when you think about it a little more deeply… well, Pujols has moved around on the field (he’s filling in at 3B this year), Jeter’s been a soap-opera, Thome’s been with a few teams, and Rivera… alright, that guy’s a machine.
Do I like Raburn at 2B? No, I don’t. I’d prefer Scrappy Rhymes, if I may speak freely on the subject. Until Magglio comes back, I’d like Will at 2B, Boesch in RF and Raburn in LF. It may not be a video-game lineup or defence out there, but I think it’s the best from what we have on the roster.
by frisbeepilot on May 28, 2011 1:28 PM EDT reply actions 4 recs
I agree with you to some extent, but.....
The present day facts are plain. The roster is full of holes and the farm system stinks. The team has been decidedly mediocre for 4 years while enjoying an ample payroll.
Hindsight is 20/20, but foresight makes a winner. The fact the plan keeps changing seems to indicate that the original plan wasn’t very good.
If you demand a winning organization, I don’t know how you can accept the current state of affairs. It may be true that finding replacements will be difficult, but continually banging one’s head on the wall isn’t appealing either.
Of course, right on queue now they’ll win 12 straight and make me rethink this.
Cosign
“The roster is full of holes and the farm system stinks. The team has been decidedly mediocre for 4 years while enjoying an ample payroll.”
85 wins a year over the past 5 years is above average…87 1/2 if you exclude the 2008 debacle. So over the past 5 seasons, there have been 1 great, 2 goods, 1 average and 1 bad…I think most teams not in the Northeast would take that.
by CoreyMichaelDC on May 29, 2011 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions
Completely Agree
My first thought, upon reading this post, was that these comments make sense because we pay attention to the Tigers every day. I’m a born and raised Tigers fan living in DC, and trust, things here with the Nats are WAY worse. The Rangers are at .500 right now – you think their fans aren’t ringing their hands about injuries and pitching inconsistency? How about the White Sox, who watched their bullpen implode for the first month of the season, having gotten nothing from Dunn, and whose offense has looked even worse than ours? Or the Rockies, a sexy pick in the NL that is 2 games under .500, whose stars have stopped hitting and whose rotation looks like a MASH unit?
We’re less than 1/3 of the way through the season, sitting in 2nd behind a team nobody believes is in it for the long haul, our rotation (Red Sox series excluded) is looking good, Furbush and Wilk have shown that we have some depth, it’s WAY too early to panic! Let Magglio come back, let Raburn see if he can warm up, give kids like Dirks a chance to get acclimated, let the front office address problems at the trade deadline, and then let’s see if it’s time to hit the big red button.
by CoreyMichaelDC on May 28, 2011 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions
I think that some stuff is justifiable with this explanation
I also think that DD has been trying to dig himself out of a hole created by tons of bad contracts in order to make this team competitive. That’s probably why we spent so little on Laird and Everett (value in defense there) and so much this offseason. Were there bad moves? Certainly. Is there a plan? Maybe.
"Aside from the stuff I haven’t been diagnosed for yet, I don’t have a problem."- Phil Coke
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on May 28, 2011 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Is this Atypical?
I don’t follow enough other teams to know hoe much they shift defensive positions trying to get more bats in the line up. I’m not bothered by that.
I do think it’s odd that the Tigers spend so much on the bullpen. I guess 2008 is still influencing that.
Finally, I have read posts and articles suggesting that in a low scoring environment the bullpen is critical. So, mid and late relief may be the next OBP, the next undervalued commodity. I’m not sold yet, but it bears considering.
Brandon Inge is making me like Don Kelly more and more.
by HighOPS on May 28, 2011 1:41 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Great write up
But I’m sorry I think the problems lies more in Leyland than the team. I know many will say Leyland can’t help how his teams performs, well I beg to differ. I know we don’t know what goes on behind closed doors but, I used to remember a Leyland that would dig into his team and call them on plain shitty play. I don’t hear that now or the last few years. THIS TEAM HAS BECOME COMPLACENT WITH ITSELF. And Leyland knows it, if this team doesn’t start to play well when Maggs comes back to can pretty much mail it in for the year, why Leyland never won above .500 ball in the 2nd half with the tigers.
I’m hoping for the best but know the worse is coming
Leyland
I don’t care much for Leyland’s in game management.
But, the Ordonez injury, Guillen injury and Boesch return to earth would have left any manager in a quandary last year. I’m not sure any amount of yelling was going to turn Rhymes into an 0.800 OPS hitter.
Brandon Inge is making me like Don Kelly more and more.
by HighOPS on May 28, 2011 1:50 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
Some things I'll hold against Leyland
Incomprehensible batting orders, how he uses the pen, the love of the bunt, as HighOPS says, his in game management. But he’s excellent in the clubhouse, which is the biggest part of the job. Either way, it wouldn’t kill me if the Tigers and Leyland parted ways at the end of the season
What I won’t hold against Leyland is the roster holes and lack of depth. He’s not responsible for building the team, that goes on Dombrowski. And if you go by the past 4 seasons, and the massive amounts of money he’s been allowed to spend, DD has failed in his job.
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
Inge and Rayburn
My suggestion is package Inge And Rayburn together and give them to who ever will take them .[I mean give them not trade or sell them then we will never have to worry about getting them back.] And then go out in the street pick someone to replace them much as you would a pick up ball team on the sandlot. This team appears to be just a pick up team at best, the only reason the Tigers are in second place is because the Twins & White Sox are having poor seasons. And I sure wouldn’t bet that the Tigers won’t end up behind them. Same old Song and Dance every year nothing changes. I am 77 years old and have been a Tigers fan as far back as I can remember and I always will be a Tiger fan. But this BS about this being a good team is getting old. Does Leyland we can’t tell the difference?
Can someone please explain to me why they aren't giving Ramon a chance to play 2nd?
maybe I am naive, but i don’t get why he isn’t being given the opportunity
Your 2k11 Detroit Tigers "AL Central Division Contenders" So get over it.
by Detroitchik on May 28, 2011 1:58 PM EDT reply actions 4 recs
I think the Tigers' brass ago long decided Santiago is a career backup
and nothing he’s done since (which is, for the most part, play fairly well when called upon) will persuade them to change it.
Lets say Santiago was made the 2B instead of Raburn. He could play every day, hit decently and field well…and the Tigers would still think his upside is “career backup.”
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
It's a shame
that the only person associated with the Tigers who we know for sure reads BYB is Will Rhymes, because I wouldn’t feel completely comfortable asking him this, but I would like to know the answer.
Hey, JL and DD, if you happen to be browsing over yonder, what gives?
Rooting for Tiger stripes, not pinstripes
by JerseyTigerFan on May 28, 2011 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions
I would like Ramon to be the everyday second baseman
when they called up Worth I thought they were calling up Worth to replace Ramon as utility backup infielder and promoting Ramon to starting second baseman… Ramon will likely hit .270 with good defense… who on the tigers will do better than that?
by mgoblue4ever on May 28, 2011 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions
They gave him a chance to play 2nd . . .
There was a year he came out of spring training the regular 2ndbaseperson. They went 43-119 that year, you may recall . . .
That TEAM was horrible
I’m not sure if this applies to you, but it seems the same people who bemoan small sample sizes about Raburn, Rhymes, and Sizemore like to point out one long ago season for Ramon when the entire team sucked. All I know is that .293 is better than .204 at the moment. Call me a casual fan who relies too much on batting average, if you will, but that’s my story and I’m sticking to it.
Rooting for Tiger stripes, not pinstripes
by JerseyTigerFan on May 29, 2011 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Oh yes, I forgot
Ramon was the only reason that team went 43-119. Good thing we benched him.
by Rob Rogacki on May 29, 2011 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions
Inge was there, too,
and he’s playing every day now.
"What does a momma bear on the pill have in common with the World Series? - NO CUBS!" - Harry Caray
by 77bestrookieclassever on May 31, 2011 12:19 AM EDT up reply actions
I just think Raburn at 2nd everyday is...
well…. laughable
Your 2k11 Detroit Tigers "AL Central Division Contenders" So get over it.
yes it is
I would not be completely surprised if Ryan Raburn could misplay a grounder into a home run by knocking it over the fence from the infield. If it would happen to anyone… it would happen to Raburn.
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
also #freewillrhymes
If NEITHER of them is a true full-time option, then play each of them half-time. It would be beter then the bumbling infield stylings of the incomparable Ryan Raburn!
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
beter = better
But I managed to spell Raburn correctly. #argh
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
ARGH
THIS IS WHAT THE TIGERS HAVE DRIVEN ME TO DO!!!!
#RAMPAGE
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Because he was given a legit shot at 2B and couldn't hold it,
even with his manager desperately trying to make it work?
"What does a momma bear on the pill have in common with the World Series? - NO CUBS!" - Harry Caray
by 77bestrookieclassever on May 29, 2011 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions
My only problem with this -
If Raburn was hitting this year as he has the second half of the past two seasons, 90% or more of casual fans would be fine with him at 2B, and we’d be focusing our attention on problems elsewhere instead. Ramon is great, but I think the carousel of 2Bers we’ve seen the past couple years have us looking at Ramon through slightly rose-colored glassed. The past two seasons he has approximately a .675 OPS with an OPS+ in the low-mid 80s, which is right in line with his career average. He is, decidedly, not an impact player offensively. If you value a player’s track record, then Raburn is the much better offensive option. Ramon is certainly the better defensive pick, but on a team trying to find offense wherever it can, he simply doesn’t have upside in that department.
by CoreyMichaelDC on May 28, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions
When you put it that way...
Mr I FIRE THIS DYSFUNCTIONAL STAFF NOW! If you want any chance of winning a WS in your lifetime, you had better do this man!
So, what's the solution?
Is there one?
1. The rotation is inconsistent
2 The bullpen sucks.
3. The lineup has more holes than (pick your metaphor)
4. The farm is devoid of talent.
5. This year’s draft will be a bust.
6. The payroll is too high.
7. The organization is losing money.
8. Big name free agents won’t come to Detroit.
9. But, at the least the division is weak – unless Cleveland keeps winninng.
Is there any good news? Where’s the silver lining, people?
Rooting for Tiger stripes, not pinstripes
well, not sure if you were asking for answers but...
1. Up until the past 3 games, the rotation has been very good
2. Agreed, but i think Furbush and a “fixed” Benoit will make it a great deal better
3. We knew this coming into the season, Inge and Jackson’s bad starts havent helped, but they should improve
4. There’s talent, it’s just not MLB ready
5. not a draft person so I will defer to those who have researched it
6 & 7 That something only ownership really should care about
8. Victor Martinez not big enough for you?
9. Despite glaring weaknesses, they are .500, in the playoff hunt and time to catch Cleveland
"I'm a simple man. I like pretty, dark-haired women and breakfast food" - Ron Swanson
by rock n rye on May 28, 2011 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
On the farm system
What little talent we have is either far away or in bullpens. There are maybe three impact prospects (Turner/Oliver/Castellanos) and a couple that have upside (Brantly- who I really like, Fields, Nunez maybe and Martinez) and then a whole lot of scratch off lottery ticket type C prospects (career backups, bullpen pieces, fifth starters, fourth outfielders). It’s pretty bad.
"Aside from the stuff I haven’t been diagnosed for yet, I don’t have a problem."- Phil Coke
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on May 28, 2011 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Raburn is the only option
Rhymes is not a major league 2nd sacker. Not much we can do til the off season and look t osign a 2nd sacker.
by BennieBladesFan on May 28, 2011 2:35 PM EDT reply actions
Which is a sad state of affairs
Then the question is, do you want Dombrowski and Leyland making the decision, or have you reached the end of the proverbial rope?
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
In my opinion
Both should and wil be gone at years end. No reason to bring back either.
by BennieBladesFan on May 28, 2011 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions
If the Tigers don't make the playoffs...
I’m thinking the same way.
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
Remember when peeps on here were pondering Uggla?
Yeah, at least that didn’t happen.
by CoreyMichaelDC on May 28, 2011 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Neither is Raburn, just sayin
Rhymes is not a major league 2nd sacker
Your 2k11 Detroit Tigers "AL Central Division Contenders" So get over it.
This trade is lame for sure but...
Worth should be the second baseman of the future. He’s great defensively and he just needs a little bit more strength to be a decent hitter.
The very definition of insanity
Is to repeat the same actions and expect different results…how long are the tigers brass going to ignore statistics? How many times are we as fans going to be told ‘this time it’s different’?
There is NOTHING in farm system to be excited about(save turner), and the “second basemen of the future” has just been dealt after 17 games for a guy who numbers mimic Brad Thomas?? WTF?!?!
I am sick of trends repeating trends that just do not work…the farm is gutted, the team has no future to speak of, we have two superstars that are being squandered and this is what they do with the only legitimate prospect we had.
I’d say it’s time to abondon ship…I am done watching them beat this dead horse.
I hold these truths to be self evident (and the math makes these points inarguable)
- DD shot the payroll wad, mostly on lavish extensions to washed up or unproven players
- At the end of the 2009 season, DD had a $ 135 million payroll. They had more built in salary increases and arbitration increases pending than they had money coming off the books due to expiring contracts
- Out of that $ 135 million, some $ 80 million (and I can add it up for you) was sunk in bad contracts. Those are contracts that no other GM would take off DD’s hands, even for free.
- The expiring contracts after 09 were Everett, Lyon, Rodney, and Polanco, plus the rentals of Huff and Washburn
IN THE CONTEXT OF THAT FINANCIAL REALITY, which is simple math
- DD was either going to raise payroll even higher, or clear payroll before adding ANY players, even to fill the vacancies left by departing free agents
- Adam Everett was signed primarily because of money, and was extended because he was cheap
- Marcus Thames and Matt Treanor were let go because of money, to make room for Everett
- Polanco was not offered arbitration or extended because of money
- The Tigers had four players making any kind of money that had trade value. Cabrera, Verlander, Granderson and Edwin Jackson.
- Curtis Granderson was traded primarily because of money, to clear payroll
- Edwin Jackson was traded in the same context (even if the deal for Scherzer was awesome)
- Verlander was extended. DD would build the team around those two $ 20MM plus players.
Sure, there is some baseball involved in those decisions, but all of them were made within a financial reality. It’s not the economy (stupid), it’s not a matter of finding a stud in AJax or Max, not Everett’s great range, it was all done in a financial straight jacket that DD got himself into.
Once the Granderson deal was done, DD had room to fill some holes. The holes left by departing free agents and trades were: Closer and set up man, CF and lead off man, No. 2 hitter and 2B.
DD has always, always valued closers more than other positions. From 2006 through 2009, DD signed ZERO free agents to multi year contracts. Instead, he doled out lavish extensions to the stand pat guys, and guys he traded for. But in DD’s time with the Tigers, he has signed Urbina, Percival, Jones twice, Lyon, and Valverde- all brought in to be closers, as multi year free agents. So the decision was made to get a closer, and Granderson was the salary to unload to clear some space.
Then, there was still room to sign a No. 2 hitter in Damon. He cost more than Polanco, although not a better hitter and his glove didn’t fit any more, he filled a gap in the lineup. One that was created by DD’s self inflicted financial mess.
So, I don’t buy the idea that the Tigers had to “cut payroll” in the sense that payroll had to be reduced. It wasn’t, and that was never the plan. Payroll had to be cleared in order to replace players that were leaving. Word from the NY press was that DD could have had Scherzer for Edwin, straight up, but insisted on dealing Granderson as well. Money. It’s that mess that DD created that I blame him for. I understand the moves after that, until yesterday. I get that he decided to stay in house with a totally unproven 2B- one that didn’t even get a call up the previous September, and go shopping for a closer instead. I don’t like that he traded Granderson if he could have gotten Scherzer for Edwin. By itself, I’m okay with signing Valverde at about a 30% discount off market rates, and with the fact that he (for once) got a couple of comp picks to make up for the lost draft pick.
Last winter’s moves show some financial flexibility. $ 72 million of those bad contracts came off the books. All of them, BTW, were either options picked up or contract extensions. DD’s first time free agent signings have worked well. His contract extensions, with the exception of Polanco, have basically all been horrible. So what does he do? Extend Magglio, extend Inge, extend Peralta. Those are players that nobody else wanted, at least not at the prices they were paying. The Indians paid DD to take Peralta. He couldn’t trade Inge after Cabrera was acquired. I can see the logic in each of those moves. It’s not like there were alternatives.
Why no alternatives? For openers, not one single position player prospect was ready for infield duty. If we count out Sizemore, and DD has done so now, there are none. No shortstop, no 3B, no 2B. That’s on DD and his nine years as GM. I’d argue that there are also no outfielders that will be league average. In fact, we have two players- Granderson and Verlander, who have been DD draftees that have been league average or better. Maybe Avila will be. I thought Sizemore had a chance, but noooo..
I smell a rat. I smell a GM and a Manager whose jobs are on the line. For the future of a ball club, the trade of Sizemore makes no sense. To call it short sighted is a gross understatement. Our GM is desperate. The emperor has no clothes.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
by Tigerdog1 on May 28, 2011 3:20 PM EDT reply actions 5 recs
Yeah, but a fanpost on the same topic would be a bit redundant
We could all go on for hours recapping DD’s moves and strategy, or lack thereof. I find some tendencies where he’s been consistent, and one major brick wall caused by foolish extensions, and that’s what caused inconsistency in his actions. That, and some really bad scouting before a couple of trades.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Yes, he has been for seven weeks.
And I don’t mean to sound like every move that DD made this past winter was a dud, just because he stood pat. However, like Al says, his overall plan, if there ever was one, has left the Tigers with gaping holes in the lineup and no talent on the farm to fill them for the foreseeable future. Even if the “stand pat” moves were the best available options, DD left himself without other better internal options. He is a smart cookie, though, and if he can get them close enough so that one or two pieces are needed, he’ll be shopping at the deadline again, and Illitch will give him the check book.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
He should be playing 3B though...
Instead we have a third baseman playing SS (Peralta), and a SS level hitting third baseman (Inge).
We should have picked one to play 3B and signed an actual SS or 2B as a FA. Santiago, Rhymes or Worth could be providing a defensive 9-hole hitter in the other slot.
You seem to have a great knowledge of the financial reasons behind every move. Are you the account for the Tigers?
"But the point is, finger-pointing is just what sports fans do when something doesn't go right." -- Kurt Mensching
by RealityIsOptionable on May 28, 2011 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions
accountant*
"But the point is, finger-pointing is just what sports fans do when something doesn't go right." -- Kurt Mensching
by RealityIsOptionable on May 28, 2011 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Just add up the payroll
The Tigers had every reason to keep Magglio on the bench and not let that $ 18 million option vest in 2009. He had like 2 HR and 15 RBI in July. In fact, if Cletus had even hit his weight, Magglio may have been stuck in a platoon, but they figured he was their best shot at winning the division, so he went back in when Clete didn’t hit. Well, game 163- option vested, no playoffs, no revenue, economy in the sewer, and you do the math. I can’t blame Illitch for saying no more. DD probably made the best of a bad situation, but that does not excuse the mess he got himself into. Taken one by one, you could justify many of the moves, even bad ones, but Al is right, IMO, that there isn’t a master plan to put together a solid lineup.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Obviously, hindsight is 20/20
but letting Maggs’ contract vest in ‘09 didn’t turn out to be such a bad thing with the start he had in 2010. Was it the best move at the time? No, but if they were going to re-sign him anyway it wouldn’t have been at a huge discount to the $15 million he was owed. And we can’t make the excuse that his contract hindered the ability to go out and sign other players after they brought in both Valverde and Damon for another $16 million.
by Rob Rogacki on May 29, 2011 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions
I hate it
But you’re right.
"Aside from the stuff I haven’t been diagnosed for yet, I don’t have a problem."- Phil Coke
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on May 28, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Great post
Sums up my feelings quite nicely. I guess, if I wanted the Tiger’s Brass the benefit of the doubt, I would say that they never planned on having Sizemore as their 2nd basemen of the future after he failed in his tryout last season. He was only up to showcase himself for a trade like this. It would all make sense if there was actually a decent option at 2nd base to take over!
For the last 3 or 4 years...
DD makes a decision to plug 1 hole, but somehow creates 2 in its place.
This trade is a perfect example. He trades his 2B for a RP and puts the LF (at least who should be) at 2B. So now they have a league average hitting OF playing historically bad defense at 2B. Plus you weakened LF.
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t value Raburn anywhere. But is is obvious the organization does, or else why would he have spent the last decade here?
Just play Worth and Santiago at 2nd, get some good D, bat them 9th and commit to a pitching and defense team.
Instead we are trying to get all our “4th” OF type guys on the field at the same time. None of which play IF at even a remotely passable level. DD keeps insisting on jamming that round peg into a square hole. Kills me.
Why not Santiago??
He fields much better than any of their other 2nd base candidates (except maybe for Wirth). He hits much better than any of the candidates. It’s time he gets a shot.
I’m glad Perry got sent down, but what do they see in Gonzales — he is Thomas 2.0.
Mel
by Melvin B on May 28, 2011 5:13 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Does anyone know how Rhymes is doing
…in Toledo?
Mel
He's actually hitting slightly better than Worth
Rhymes: BA .291 OBP .361
Worth: .271, .344.
Rhymes has a lower SLG%, thus Worth has a better OPS.
Rhymes will get on base a little more, Worth has a tad more power. But to be honest, there’s not a lot of difference on offense.
I’m thinking the Tigers believe Rhymes is a AAAA player. As he’s 28 years old, it’s probably the correct assumption. Worth is 3 years younger, and still has a chance to be a MLB utility guy.
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
I'd expect to see Worth as a defensive replacement quite frequently
probably do some pinch running as well.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Maybe replace Peralta at SS in late games
And then he slides to 2B.
"Aside from the stuff I haven’t been diagnosed for yet, I don’t have a problem."- Phil Coke
Contributor, Bless You Boys
by David Tokarz on May 28, 2011 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Bottom Line: JL is pulling out all the stops looking for real offense
Raburn has shown in the past that he can hit, and hit for power. Boesch has shown that also. Magglio was on a tear when he went on the DL last year, so if is problems this year were related to his ankle, it stands to reason that he could come back strong as when he left us. JL wants to get all those bats into the lineup, and see what works. IF RR can hit like he did in the second half last year, he’s Dan Uggla. If he doesn’t, he Dam Uggly.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
by Tigerdog1 on May 28, 2011 5:19 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
"IF RR can hit like he did in the second half last year, he’s Dan Uggla. If he doesn’t, he Dam Uggly."
+1 internets, sir.
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
Dam Uggly
Love. It. I smell a new Raburn nickname.
by CoreyMichaelDC on May 28, 2011 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Can we let Avila see the light in the top half of the line-up one day?
My question, why has Avila not hit above 7th in a SINGLE GAME this season?! The kid has a .920 OPS and a good eye that could certainly play batting second…OR, slide Miggy up to 3rd, hit V-Mart 4th, and bat Avila 5th and Peralta 6th…
I built a new house once.
I hired a very experienced architect. After months of planning and countless revisions, I had the blueprints drawn up in painstaking detail.
When I actually started building the house, the plans had to change, blueprints need massive revisions to accommodate situations nobody could have foreseen. Thankfully, I had a builder and architect that were agile, and the house was built to great stratification.
Dombrowski has a plan. He has been the architect of one World Series team. His vision took the Tigers to the World Series in 2006. Perhaps, it is not always easy to see DD’s plan. My guess would be DD looses more sleep over the current direction of the Tigers than all the members of BYB combined, because after all it is his plan.
It just sounds to me that some fans want to believe DD sits in if office all day playing FarmVille.
"But the point is, finger-pointing is just what sports fans do when something doesn't go right." -- Kurt Mensching
by RealityIsOptionable on May 28, 2011 6:50 PM EDT reply actions 3 recs
I do trust spell check more than I should
On the bright side stratification is spelled correctly.
"But the point is, finger-pointing is just what sports fans do when something doesn't go right." -- Kurt Mensching
by RealityIsOptionable on May 28, 2011 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Actually, DD seems more like a old school solitaire kind of guy
I'm owner/editor of The Wayne Fontes Experience a deputy editor at Bless You Boys and co-host The Knee Jerks podcast.
by BigAl on May 28, 2011 8:35 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Three World Series teams
97 Marlins
03 Marlins (Mostly his players)
06 Tigers
We backed into 06, and that’s where everything went wrong. The plan changed; we apparently had a good corps of talent that we could build into world beaters. Except we didn’t. Several players had career years, and the players we lost through trades eventually added up. It doesn’t help that we signed said career year players to additional years and added on Dontrelle (another 03 Marlin).
I think if we had the time, in five years, we could do something. But we’ve been forced every year, over the past five years to not rebuild and fight with what we have. That’s led to our surrender of draft picks and trading away the talent that we have. Dombrowski’s no fool, he’s had pretty fine farm systems in the past. Unfortunately for us, we’re stuck in the between of a club that can compete and an owner (and fanbase) that wants to win now.
by metatron5369 on May 28, 2011 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions
Also
Dombrowski is a master negotiator, or at least, he seems to be.
People are trying in this thread to pin Curtis Granderson’s resurgent career on him, but I still think Austin Jackson was a better choice: Grandy learned how to hit with the Yankees, something he couldn’t do here for the life of him. Yankee Stadium was seemingly built just for him.
Aside from the Renteria trade, I can’t think of too many mistakes. Dontrelle was thrown in by Florida so we could take him off their hands, IIRC.
But that’s the only way this Sizemore deal works – if it’s a precursor to another trade coming up. We have holes at 3B and 2B, and a SS who could play either well. How many teams need pitching, need money, and have players at that position? I’m sure a few, but the inner optimist in me hopes it’s the Mets.
by metatron5369 on May 28, 2011 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Has Anyone Checked Out The Rangers on The Disabled List? Lots Of Pitchers!
Beltre, Omar SP Mar 22 60-Day DL Recovery from back, ankle surgery
Feldman, Scott SP Mar 22 15-Day DL Recovery from right knee surgery
Hunter, Tommy SP Mar 25 15-Day DL Strained right groin
Hurley, Eric SP Apr 23 60-Day DL Skull fracture/concussion
O’Day, Darren RP Apr 27 60-Day DL Torn labrum, left hip
Tobin, Mason RP Apr 20 60-Day DL Right elbow inflammation
Webb, Brandon SP Mar 22 60-Day DL Recovery from right shoulder surgery
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/tex/roster
They have many pitchers on the list & we have some to trade away (and Nolan Ryan would love a couple hard throwing young guys to help coach along), if offered the right player. Maybe even another multi team trade, who knows, maybe I’m just dreaming again.
by TigersFan1957 on May 29, 2011 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions
Dontrelle still DD's mistake
He was extended AFTER the trade. Having not thrown a competitive pitch for the Tigers.
by André Boillot on May 29, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions
DD has certain tendencies, and I'm sure he has a plan going into every off season
But you still add up the moves that he made and they added up to $ 80 millilon in bad contracts. You still get no new position players signed as free agents ovdr three years. You still get a last place team paying the luxury tax. I think it’s pretty clear that there is a strategy to build around a solid nucleus of pitching. He’s twice now put together pretty solid rotations, in 2006 and again this season, IMO. But the farm is not feeding the necessary players to the parent club. Mega holes in the lineup and nothing on the way up to get excited about. So, when he has limited options on the free agent market at certain positions, and is basically forced to extend the same mediocre players, he has only himself to blame. If there is a plan to build a solid lineup, it’s not working.
I don't care what the Chinese say, 2011 is the Year of the Tiger!
Getting Maggs back could be the spark we need.
The starting pitching is good the lineup has to snap out of it soon.Put maggs back in his #3 spot and hope for the best.
Great write up
and I understand all your points. By my estimation, I think Mike Ilitch is playing a major role behind the scenes. He’s 82 and he wants to see the Tigers win a World Series in the worst way, that I think he’s “urging” DD to go get the guy that will put them over the top. Unfortunately, this team is more than one or two players from reaching that point. Yet, they keep chasing that rainbow.
That’s just my feeling, I have nothing to base it on, but it might start to explain some of the bipolar behavior from the front office.
That, or they just don’t have a plan.
by Mark in Chicago on May 29, 2011 12:32 AM EDT reply actions
I agree with Mark. The man behind the tiger-striped curtain is Mike Ilitch. And I think it’s fairly easy to see that by studying the track records of both Dave Dombrowski and his boss.
Was Dombrowski the kind of GM who didn’t stick to his plan before he came to Detroit? Did he make moves that had you scratching your head? No, I think the exact opposite could be said. Dombrowski was one of the most respected GMs in the business before he came here.
Now, let’s look at Ilitch. When he first bought the team, he started throwing money around like crazy, signing Cecil Fielder a huge contract, and overpaying guys like Mike Moore. For a time the Tigers had the biggest payroll in baseball. For their efforts, they were rewarded with a last-place team. I remember a big deal being made about how the Tigers finished dead last with the biggest payroll in baseball, and this was long before Dombrowski came to town.
After that, Ilitch decided to trade away players like Fielder, David Wells and Travis Fryman, getting absolutely nothing in return. Ilitch then slammed the pursestrings shut for several years while he waited to see if he’d get a new stadium; 90-plus loss seasons became the norm.
Finally, Comerica Park was built, and Ilitch decided he wanted to make it a pitcher’s park, with cavernous dimensions. He then decided to abandon his plan to build with “the kids from Erie” and trade away his top prospects for a “name” who would make a splash in the new digs. So who does he goes after? Why, Juan Gonzalez, of course — the worst possible fit for that kind of ballpark; a selfish player interested in his own stats (and, just to make it even more ridiculous, Gonzalez was in the last year of his contract).
What kind of moron would make a move like that? Although Ilitch was front and center when the trade was announced, taking credit for having come up with the idea, it was Randy Smith who took the brunt of the fans’ wrath after the Gonzalez experiment predictably ended in disaster. (Ilitch tried to make it even worse by offering JuanGone what may have been the stupidest contract offer in baseball history, but thankfully Gonzalez turned it down).
Ilitch has stuck his nose into personnel decisions since he bought the team, going back to when he ordered Larry Parrish to give Kimera Bartee more playing time. Ilitch is perfectly willing to take credit when personnel moves he ordered work out, such as the Pudge and Magglio signings, or the trade for Cabrera/Willis, all of which were orchestrated by the boss, if the stories coming from the Tiger camp are to be believed.
But it’s Dombrowski who gets the blame for things like the stupid contract extensions, or sudden changes in the organization’s philosophy.
I don’t understand why people are pointing their finger at DD. The kind of stupid moves we’ve seen recently have been Ilitch’s MO from the moment he got here.
Here, dawg, come on, dawg; me and dawg want you to go to Tell-e-graph Road. Right now. Get a good deal.
Maybe its a Tigers thing
Because Illitch is certainly not that type of owner with the Wings. It could be that they’ve been good enough for the last twenty years that he doesn’t feel that he needs to interfere…but you do bring up an interesting element with his involvement.
Having said that, there’s plenty of moves that – if DD really didn’t want to make them – the front office should have been able to easily argue against. The Sizemore trade, for example, seems to address neither long-term or immediate needs.
by André Boillot on May 29, 2011 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions
perhaps Ken Holland and DD have different personalities?
Holland has such a reputation that if ownership tried to push him to do anything he thought was unwise, he would just not do it, because if he were fired he could have his pick of most other teams in the NHL. He’s very secure in his job. Is DD’s reputation among baseball people as good? Or perhaps he just isn’t as assertive when he disagrees with ownership as Holland is.
It is an interesting difference in how the same man owns two different sports teams.
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Actually
If you were to look at their reputations at the time of their hiring, DD was far and away a more well know/respected GM. Holland came up through the Wings organization, but he was essentially unknown to a lot of people when he was first hired. Their reputations have perhaps gone in different directions since then.
by André Boillot on May 29, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm Off-line for a day and all Hell Breaks Loose!
This is really great analysis. Too bad DD and Co. don’t pay attention to BYB. My only real comment is one I’ve made before and probably will again.
I miss Placido Polanco.
I think the problem is, Ilitch played minor league baseball for the Tigers, so he thinks he knows more than he really does about baseball. With his hockey team, he just steps back and lets his people run the day-to-day operations.
Here, dawg, come on, dawg; me and dawg want you to go to Tell-e-graph Road. Right now. Get a good deal.
I totally and respectfully disagree
Purcey has way more big league upside than sizemore, even with all the time under his belt. The kid has a great arm from the leftside and has shown a lot of promise since moving to the pen. Plus, quality depth at left handed relief is a need (that is, if we don’t want to keep running Thomas out there).
Sizemore could yet turn into a stable, mediocre everyday player. But we have a whole stable of players who can be mediocre at second base. Sizemore may have been the best option we currently have at the position, in the short term and especially longer term. But that is irrelevant because he is not THE answer. The Tigers simply MUST acquire a middle infielder from outside the organization in the next month and a half. That was true before we dumped Sizemore, and it is still true after.
I still can’t believe we found someone who would give us a useful big league pitcher for him.
On twitter @BisonMessink

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