Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Win or Lose, Boston Celtics' New Big 3 Era A Success

Will Jackson & Raburn bounce back in 2012? Short answer, YES!


Amid all the hoopla over the loss of Victor Martinez and subsequent signing of Prince Fielder, there has been a steady undercurrent of concern over Austin Jackson's regression at the plate in 2011, and the Tiger's failure to replace him at the top of the batting order for 2012. That, coupled with Ryan Raburn's inability to hit for average OR power before the calender turns to July has got many fans worried that Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski still has work to do on the personel front before the start of the 2012 season. I'm here to tell you to stop worrying, because the Tigers have it all figured out.

Star-divide

Tigers hitting coach Lloyd McClendon had a good year in 2011, as the Tigers resided near the top of the league in many team batting stats, including third in team BA @ .277, fourth in OBP @ .340 and fourth in slugging @ .434. Jhonny Peralta, Brennan Boesch & Victor Martinez all had career bests in BA and Alex Avila made a monumental jump from the year before. McClendon's phillosophy has always been that you shouldn't try to make major changes to someone's swing during the season, as it may damage their psyche as they try to do too many things all at once while still facing live pitching every day. So, this off season, McClendon turned his sights on Austin Jackson. The obvious adjustment was to reduce his leg kick, which has made him late on fastballs and unable to adjust to two-strike breaking balls. McClendon has been drilling Jackson hard after a season in which his league-worst strikeout total of 170 his rookie season rose to 181 last year. “I’m very excited,” McClendon said during the club’s winter press caravan. “I came away from this project probably more excited than by any project I’ve done in my seven years here at this time of year. I’m extremely pleased by how quickly he adjusted and adapted. And really the credit goes to him because he wanted to do it and he was willing to do it. (Hear that Brandon Inge?) My hope is that we’re going to see some drastic differences.” Jackson has always been seen as a willing student of the game who is not afraid to make the changes neccesary to improve his overall abilities, so there is optimism among the Tiger brass that Jackson will be just fine at the top of the order in 2012

Raburn is a different story altogether. Every year, the guy seems to hit like Mickey Mantle after the all-star break, but like Mickey Rooney before it. However, that trend may be coming to an end in 2012. In fact, last season Raburn had a decent April, hitting .253 with 4 dingers. Then came May where he hit just .113 with 0 HR's. June was a little better, (it couldnt have been worse) and then in July he hit .275, .323 in August, and .383 in September. Same old Raburn, right? Not so fast. Something must have happened at the start of May to start the decline, but what? The Tigers think they have the answer. It turns out Raburn sustained a V shaped break to his left index finger sliding into 2nd in an early May game against the Minnesota Twins. The injury wasnt diagnosed until several weeks later, and by then the break was mostly healed. Not coincidently, it corresponded to about the same time Raburn's bat started to heat up. It's the Tigers hope that Raburn has an injury free spring training & swings a good bat in Florida to help him start the season with confidence he has lacked in past years, which should allow the Tiger vet to hit for a high average all season long. Was the broken finger to blame for Raburn's terrible May/June? The Tigers think it was, and I guess the rest of us will find out soon enough.

So, for those who are hoping for a late free agent signing or a trade to bring in a 2nd baseman to bat at the top of the order, don't hold your breath. The Tigers think they have both spots covered already.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Bless You Boys writing staff.

Comment 13 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

look for Raburn to surprise a lot of people this year

if he can put it all together for a full year, his numbers would be a big boost in the lower third of the lineup

Did we really just sign Prince Fielder? Holllllllllly sh*t.

by tigers22 on Feb 1, 2012 2:46 PM EST reply actions  

Not that I am doubting you

but do you have a reference for the Raburn info? I find it slightly unlikely that a guy could break his finger and not realize that there is a problem there, especially since there should be a considerable amount of swelling that would have at least warranted a X-ray.

I really hope you are right and that it was his finger, but this is the first I have even heard of any type of problem he may have had (other than not being able to hit the ball).

by wilsonm24 on Feb 1, 2012 2:52 PM EST reply actions  

Thanks for asking...

My source for the Raburn finger issue is the Yahoo! Sports Tigers team page. The item is located in the January 31 Tigers Team Report under the “Notes, Quotes” section. I was surprised by the info as well, since i had never heard that excuse being floated before.

by MotorCityCat on Feb 1, 2012 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

cool.

thanks for passing along the info. Don’t know if I buy that as the problem, but it is February and the time for optimism!

by wilsonm24 on Feb 1, 2012 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

You'd be surprised

Just how much of a difference just a little injury like that can make.

I played a season (hockey) with an undiagnosed scaffoid fracture, and my numbers took a massive drop, and I myself couldn’t even tell exactly why. I knew I felt a little off, but I just couldn’t fix it. It was crazy. So I totally believe that something small like that could make a big difference.

by MakeItTrizzle on Feb 1, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Austin Jackson

If he doesn’t raise his OBP and lower his strike outs, every time Fielder hits a homerun and he wasn’t on base because he struckout he will scoot over a little farther into the corner of the dugout…

by msivits on Feb 1, 2012 5:23 PM EST reply actions  

I'm not too worried.

Link to theme music

AJax and Raburn have plenty of upside offensively. I think we all know how great they can be. Problem is they’ll always have an ugly downside, but I’m OK with that. You just have to take the good with the bad, and the ugly.

by Keith-Allen on Feb 1, 2012 10:22 PM EST reply actions  

I'm torn

I think AJax will be a better hitter in 2012. I’m not sure it will be from fewer K’s though. I anticipate a drop in K’s, but not substantial. To be honest, K’s didn’t bother me much last year from his spot in the lineup.

As an out, strikeouts are only really bad when they fail to advance runners. As a leadoff hitter on the 2011 Tigers, Jackson rarely batted with runners on base. The bases are always empty at the start of the game and they were often empty after what we trotted out there as 8 and 9 hitters last year.

That being said, a drop of 20 K’s with a BABIP of .340 should get him almost 7 extra hits on the year. That can’t hurt and I think dropping 20 K’s is feasible. I don’t anticipate much more than that. Most strikeout hitters don’t improve much in this regard. For all the hype given to Granderson’s 2011 season, he still struck out 169 times.

I do think that Jackson will add more power. Some nice trends that emerged between 2010 and 2011 were that his ISO went from .107 to .125 and his BB% went from 7.0 to 8.4%. Modest increases in each of these could yield a player who gets on base enough to be productive and has a nice bit of pop. A modest decrease in K’s coupled with a modest increase in BB% should push his OBP back toward .340 and I think you’ll start to see some emerging power, maybe 14-18 HR coupled with good doubles and triples totals. Throw in his solid D and we’ve still got ourselves a fine player that should be 3-4 WAR, easily.

Raburn, however, does not inspire any faith in me. I think he’s a slow starter and I’m not going to let his hand convince me otherwise. I hope I’m wrong, because if he’s raking early, our lineup looks much better at the bottom.

The other sports are just sports. Baseball is a love. ~Bryant Gumbel, 1981

by momotigers on Feb 1, 2012 11:24 PM EST reply actions  

Beware..Raburn has proven he don't get it going to July.

I’ll give Raburn a few weeks to get a couple important hits..if not bench him..period! I sure hope he gets in a groove early cuz it is very very painful to watch him kill rally after rally. Plus we already won’t have the other rally killer in the starting lineup anymore(Inge). i remmeber when the Tigers had the best 7-8-9 in all of baseball..Now it’s …time to make a sandwich or go to bathroom cuz nothing happening here down in the order.

by harley5571 on Feb 2, 2012 3:02 PM EST reply actions  

Not a Raburn fan

Details provided on request , otherwise you know the reasons why!

by benyodel on Feb 3, 2012 4:01 PM EST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Wake-forest-logo_small
Is Austin Jackson a top-five center fielder?

Recent FanPosts

Small
Is Prince Fielder earning his keep?
Small
Reading the Detroit News comments section on Tigers stories
Small
All-Time Tigers Team
Small
A Sunday with Dan and Jim
Small
2012 Detroit Tigers Draft Question
Amrita_rao_small
Elvis Andrus and Jurickson Profar
Img_1374_small
Scary moment for ex-Tiger Will Rhymes
Small
Austin Jackson: A mid-May appreciation
Tigers_logo_small
Advice on tickets, pre-game

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Yahoo_full_count

Quick Rules

Do:

  • Treat others like you'd like to be treated.
  • Stick to the topic being discussed.
  • Make arguments based on facts, not emotion.
Don't:
  • Confuse BYB with talk radio, your blog or your social networking web site of choice. We're a baseball community.
  • Feed the trolls.

Commenting Code of Conduct


Managing Editor

Dsc0178-l_small Kurt Mensching

Deputy Editors

Meatcomputer-1_small BigAl

Sparky_anderson_wall_small Rob Rogacki

5532934019_b5fa57ae98_small allikazoo

Contributors

Good_to_great_leadership_image1-262x300_1__small Tigerdog1

Suss_small Matt Sussman

6m2bts_small Melissa Heyboer

Moderators

Be050826_small NCDee

Sifl_and_olly_small 13194013