I ran Tuesday's Mariners vs Tigers game through my simulator 100K times. The simulator is pretty accurate for the most part, taking almost everything you can think of in to account. The only hard part about running the simulation the evening before the game is not knowing the exact lineups. Unless there is a major player like Prince Fielder or Miguel Cabrera sitting out it really doesn't matter too much though. Below is the box score output that it spit out along with the most likely 150 final scores. Feel free to take a swag at which final score on the list you think will happen. The simulator says the Tigers will win this game 65.51% of the time with on average with 8.24 total runs scoring. Las Vegas on the other hand says the Tigers will win 63.83% of the time with 8.2 runs scoring on average.

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Chone Figgins	4.313	1.111	0.782	0.216	0.015	0.099	0.343	0.285	0.979	0.303
Dustin Ackley	4.174	1.04	0.641	0.214	0.09	0.096	0.374	0.314	1.094	0.311
Ichiro Suzuki	4.234	1.247	1.019	0.146	0.031	0.05	0.383	0.182	0.592	0.312
Justin Smoak	4.002	0.926	0.565	0.204	0.006	0.151	0.487	0.312	1.089	0.299
Jesus Montero	3.982	1.001	0.522	0.267	0.006	0.207	0.544	0.216	1.18	0.326
Kyle Seager	3.903	0.987	0.645	0.239	0.011	0.092	0.334	0.204	0.888	0.297
Miguel Olivo	3.843	0.88	0.552	0.179	0.015	0.134	0.359	0.125	1.314	0.276
Michael Saunders	3.665	0.808	0.513	0.182	0.043	0.07	0.298	0.212	0.957	0.269
Brendan Ryan	3.561	0.836	0.585	0.181	0.026	0.044	0.272	0.172	0.855	0.268
Austin Jackson	4.303	1.21	0.826	0.221	0.08	0.084	0.378	0.339	1.063	0.334
Brennan Boesch	4.202	1.162	0.772	0.215	0.02	0.155	0.556	0.309	0.811	0.336
Miguel Cabrera	3.862	1.288	0.722	0.344	0.001	0.22	0.707	0.575	0.541	0.433
Prince Fielder	3.768	1.101	0.656	0.205	0.009	0.232	0.692	0.572	0.707	0.397
Delmon Young	4.02	1.192	0.788	0.248	0.01	0.146	0.566	0.213	0.616	0.347
Alex Avila	3.697	0.982	0.635	0.203	0.03	0.114	0.462	0.425	0.883	0.339
Jhonny Peralta	3.747	1.059	0.695	0.205	0.018	0.141	0.504	0.262	0.596	0.342
Brandon Inge	3.64	0.91	0.577	0.229	0.021	0.083	0.385	0.259	0.692	0.304
Ryan Raburn	3.579	0.999	0.579	0.266	0.026	0.127	0.473	0.216	0.717	0.342

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Jason Vargas	5.651	4.129	1.964	6.596	0.822	92.043	4.672
Brandon League	0.377	0.336	0.082	0.381	0.034	5.801	3.226
Tom Wilhelmsen	0.401	0.381	0.128	0.4	0.039	6.394	3.515
Steve Delabar	0.603	0.532	0.254	0.666	0.099	10.072	4.826
Lucas Leutge	0.291	0.223	0.154	0.339	0.048	5.025	5.396
Erasmo Ramirez	0.243	0.189	0.119	0.279	0.04	4.139	5.236
Charles Furbush	0.633	0.524	0.269	0.773	0.153	10.779	5.962
Hisashi Iwakuma	0.398	0.312	0.201	0.469	0.067	6.855	5.35
Max Scherzer	6.58	6.442	1.314	6.376	0.737	100.61	3.298
Jose Valverde	0.431	0.466	0.122	0.357	0.025	6.649	2.628
Joaquin Benoit	0.367	0.419	0.068	0.308	0.026	5.523	2.392
Octavio Dotel	0.564	0.657	0.132	0.485	0.051	8.693	2.755
Phil Coke	0.227	0.179	0.061	0.219	0.011	3.475	3.044
Collin Balester	0.133	0.134	0.04	0.126	0.017	2.104	3.721
Duane Below	0.552	0.366	0.166	0.587	0.041	8.608	3.745
Thad Weber	0.369	0.287	0.12	0.379	0.036	5.823	3.874

Top 150 Most Likely Final Scores

1 DET 3-2		51 SEA 7-4		101 SEA 9-1
2 DET 4-3		52 DET 9-1		102 DET 10-6
3 DET 2-1		53 SEA 7-5		103 SEA 9-7
4 DET 5-4		54 DET 9-2		104 SEA 8-0
5 DET 4-2		55 SEA 7-3		105 DET 12-4
6 DET 3-1		56 DET 9-3		106 SEA 10-4
7 SEA 3-2		57 DET 8-5		107 DET 10-9
8 SEA 4-3		58 SEA 6-1		108 SEA 10-3
9 SEA 2-1		59 DET 8-7		109 DET 13-1
10 DET 5-3		60 DET 8-0		110 DET 13-2
11 DET 4-1		61 SEA 4-0		111 DET 13-3
12 DET 5-2		62 SEA 7-2		112 DET 10-7
13 DET 6-5		63 DET 10-2		113 SEA 10-2
14 SEA 4-2		64 DET 9-4		114 DET 12-0
15 SEA 5-4		65 DET 8-6		115 DET 11-6
16 SEA 3-1		66 DET 10-3		116 SEA 9-8
17 DET 5-1		67 SEA 5-0		117 SEA 10-5
18 DET 1-0		68 DET 10-1		118 SEA 10-1
19 DET 6-2		69 SEA 8-5		119 DET 10-8
20 DET 6-3		70 DET 9-0		120 DET 13-4
21 DET 2-0		71 SEA 8-3		121 DET 12-5
22 DET 3-0		72 DET 10-4		122 SEA 10-6
23 DET 6-1		73 SEA 7-1		123 SEA 10-7
24 SEA 5-3		74 SEA 8-4		124 SEA 9-0
25 DET 6-4		75 DET 9-5		125 DET 13-0
26 DET 4-0		76 DET 11-2		126 SEA 10-8
27 SEA 5-2		77 SEA 8-6		127 DET 14-3
28 DET 7-2		78 SEA 6-0		128 SEA 11-5
29 SEA 4-1		79 DET 11-3		129 DET 11-7
30 DET 7-6		80 SEA 8-2		130 DET 12-6
31 DET 7-1		81 SEA 8-7		131 DET 13-5
32 DET 5-0		82 DET 9-6		132 SEA 11-3
33 DET 7-3		83 DET 9-8		133 DET 14-2
34 SEA 6-5		84 DET 11-1		134 SEA 11-2
35 SEA 6-3		85 DET 10-0		135 SEA 11-4
36 SEA 6-4		86 SEA 8-1		136 DET 14-1
37 DET 7-4		87 SEA 9-3		137 DET 11-8
38 DET 6-0		88 DET 11-4		138 SEA 10-9
39 SEA 1-0		89 DET 10-5		139 SEA 11-6
40 SEA 2-0		90 DET 12-2		140 DET 12-7
41 DET 8-2		91 SEA 9-4		141 DET 11-10
42 DET 7-5		92 SEA 9-6		142 SEA 11-1
43 DET 8-1		93 DET 12-3		143 DET 14-4
44 SEA 5-1		94 DET 9-7		144 SEA 11-7
45 SEA 6-2		95 DET 11-0		145 DET 13-6
46 SEA 3-0		96 SEA 9-5		146 SEA 12-4
47 DET 8-3		97 SEA 9-2		147 SEA 12-3
48 DET 7-0		98 SEA 7-0		148 DET 15-2
49 DET 8-4		99 DET 12-1		149 DET 15-3
50 SEA 7-6		100 DET 11-5		150 DET 15-1