FanPost

Invent-a-stat: Batting vs. top-tier starting pitchers

What does everyone make of this? Any tips on refining the stat? -- Kurt

I decided to pick-up on a fan post I had worked on from last September called: "How well do our hitters fair against top-tier pitchers in the league?" (link here)

Ever since my post, I have been trying to find some answers and to no avail. I firmly believe that there is value in identifying how well hitters do against the best pitching. So I decided to whip something together myself.

After re-learning Microsoft Excel and spending WAY TOO MUCH time culling numbers from baseball-reference.com, I have finally reached some conclusions. If you want to check my homework, here is the full spreadsheet on google documents updated as of this morning (Sept. 3).

I'll post some of my thoughts on these numbers in comments. But I should probably do some "real work" first this morning.

Please let me know what you guys think :) -- Daniel

Hit the jump to check out the numbers in a semi-attractively laid-out way (not so good on the whole formatting shindig).

Stats are current as of September 3, 2012















PA AB BA OBP SLG OPS ISO
AJax vs the best starters 106 96 0.208 0.274 0.365 0.657 0.156

year overall 503 441 0.306 0.387 0.492 0.879 0.186

% PA vs the best 21%














Boesch vs the best starters 93 90 0.278 0.301 0.444 0.737 0.167

year overall 455 426 0.246 0.290 0.387 0.677 0.141

% PA vs the best 20%














Cabby vs the best starters 117 103 0.349 0.424 0.592 0.991 0.243

year overall 577 514 0.331 0.397 0.589 0.986 0.258

% PA vs the best 20%














Prince vs the best starters 110 99 0.232 0.309 0.414 0.728 0.182

year overall 572 480 0.313 0.411 0.517 0.928 0.204

% PA vs the best 19%














Delmon vs the best starters 88 83 0.301 0.341 0.494 0.838 0.193

year overall 467 468 0.276 0.308 0.438 0.746 0.162

% PA vs the best 19%














Peralta vs the best starters 89 81 0.216 0.287 0.352 0.625 0.136

year overall 477 433 0.254 0.317 0.413 0.731 0.159

% PA vs the best 19%














Avila vs the best starters 53 48 0.188 0.264 0.437 0.681 0.250

year overall 365 311 0.244 0.349 0.379 0.728 0.135

% PA vs the best 15%














Dirks vs the best starters 34 31 0.322 0.382 0.484 0.861 0.161

year overall 243 219 0.333 0.393 0.502 0.895 0.169

% PA vs the best 14%














Berry vs the best starters 30 26 0.231 0.311 0.385 0.656 0.154

year overall 274 239 0.268 0.346 0.368 0.714 0.100

% PA vs the best 11%














Santiago vs the best starters 49 44 0.159 0.235 0.250 0.495 0.091

year overall 248 218 0.211 0.291 0.280 0.571 0.069

% PA vs the best 20%














Raburn vs the best starters 42 38 0.132 0.190 0.263 0.459 0.131

year overall 214 198 0.172 0.225 0.258 0.483 0.086

% PA vs the best 20%











****************

These are the pitchers that I chose to rep the "top-tier" pitchers. As you can see, they are mostly from American League playoff contending teams; however, I added A.J. Burnett (because he has been hella good for the Pirates this year... and Tigers hitters faced him twice), along with King Felix, Vargas and Diamond (who have all put up super solid numbers).

How did I choose? Well.. I wanted enough pitchers to create a decent-sized sample and I figured sub 4.00 ERA would be a fair cut-off, but then thought that Darvish and Hughes probably have pitched well enough to be included in the group as well... and as they pitch for the two best teams in the AL, why not lump 'em in?




W L ERA WHIP BAA IP K








TEX






Harrison 15 8 3.30 1.26 0.256 174.1 106
Darvish 14 9 4.29 1.37 0.229 161.2 188








NYY






Kuroda 12 10 3.04 1.10 0.238 183.1 135
Sabathia 13 4 3.42 1.20 0.246 163 161
Hughes 13 12 4.18 1.27 0.261 161.2 136








OAK






Parker 9 7 3.72 1.32 0.250 140.1 107
Milone 11 10 3.94 1.23 0.267 162.1 118








TAMPA






Price 17 5 2.54 1.12 0.225 180.2 175
Hellickson 8 10 3.41 1.27 0.246 145.1 93
Moore 10 8 3.58 1.33 0.238 156 152
Shields 13 8 3.88 1.25 0.252 190 181








BAL






Chen 12 8 3.79 1.23 0.241 163.2 134








CWS






Sale 15 6 2.93 1.08 0.223 163 162
Peavy 9 10 3.28 1.12 0.238 181 159








LAA






J. Weaver 16 4 2.86 1.03 0.216 160.1 121
C.J. Wilson 11 9 3.85 1.33 0.240 175.1 148
* Greinke 12 5 3.82 1.26 0.258 169.2 162








SEA






F. Hernandez 13 6 2.51 1.04 0.222 204 191
Vargas 14 9 3.80 1.17 0.245 191.2 121








MIN






Diamond 10 6 3.21 1.21 0.274 137.1 73








PIT






* A.J. Burnett 15 5 3.63 1.24 0.242 163.2 145








DET






Verlander 13 7 2.73 1.03 0.212 204.1 209
Scherzer 15 6 3.93 1.32 0.256 162.2 204








AVERAGE: 13 7 3.45 1.21 0.242 168 148

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the <em>Bless You Boys</em> writing staff.

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