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Brad Penny, Tigers agree to one-year deal

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The Detroit Tigers haven't announced it yet, but they and righthander Brad Penny have come to an agreement reportedly worth $3 million for one year, with incentives that could make the deal worth as much as $6 million.

Jon Paul Morosi first reported the deal overnight, and MLB.com's Jason Beck confirmed the basics of it on his blog this morning. ESPN.com's Buster Olney confirmed the incentives could be worth $3 million.

I agree with this paragraph of Beck's analysis, basically stating people put too much emphasis on a partial season in Boston.

Still, as long as he's healthy, there are reasons to believe the 32-year-old is more than a National League pitcher with AL struggles. First, the AL experience was less than a full season in Boston, with a hitter-friendly home ballpark and a selection of formidable lineups in the AL East. His .487 slugging percentage allowed with the Red Sox was by far the highest mark of his career, while his .838 OPS allowed in the same stretch was 97 points above his career number in that category.

Can I tell you with 100 percent confidence what to expect? Far from it. Penny could be a pretty good veteran presence in the rotation. (And yes, at this point I think he is in the rotation and it's his spot to lose). He could struggle again as he did in Boston. He could suffer from shoulder or back pain again. At $3 million, Detroit will not feel as pressured to suffer through poor results due to the cost or length of the deal. That's what makes it a good decision on the part of the Tigers.