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Game 60 Preview: Tigers at Reds

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PITTSBURGH, PA - MAY 29:  Homer Bailey #34 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the game on May 29, 2012 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - MAY 29: Homer Bailey #34 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the game on May 29, 2012 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
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Detroit Tigers (27-32) at Cincinnati Reds (32-26)

Time/Place: 8:00 p.m., Great American Ball Park

SB Nation Blog: Red Reporter

Media: ESPN, Tigers Radio Network

Pitching Matchup: Drew Smyly (2-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Homer Bailey (4-4, 4.39 ERA)

David Dewitt Bailey has pitched well this season -- he has eight quality starts already -- except for a few starts that have inflated his ERA considerably. Up until his last start, Bailey was 4-1 in his previous eight starts with a 3.35 ERA. That last start? A 3 inning performance where he gave up 6 runs on 8 hits to the Pittsburgh Pirates. His peripheral stats aren't particularly interesting either (until GWilson throws out something totally obscure in the comments, of course).

Smyly's first foray into interleague play was statistically his worst start of the season, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits against the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 19th. As has been the case all season long, Smyly left a couple of pitches hanging to Andrew McCutchen, which is just a bad idea. If he can avoid throwing bad pitches to good hitters, he should be OK.

Outlook

Don't look now, but a win tonight would put the Tigers at 3-1 in their last four games with a series against the worst team in baseball on the horizon. With Austin Jackson back from the disabled list and some of the other members of the lineup finally getting into gear (read: Brennan Boesch), this might be prime time for the Tigers to make up a couple games on the Chicago White Sox, whose upcoming schedule looks to be more difficult on paper. As for tonight's game: don't pitch to Joey Votto because he hits lefties well too.

Prediction

The trend continues tonight: neither starter ends up with a decision.

Gameday Reading:

Tigers Overcome Pretty Much Everything, Find Way To Beat Reds - Walkoff Woodward, Grey Papke
"What would you say if I told you that Justin Verlander threw over 110 pitches in five innings, Delmon Young was involved in a brutal fielding mishap, the Tigers managed two pithy runs off Bronson Arroyo, and they won the game?"

Prince Envisions Reds as Burrito, Eats Them. Tigers defeat Reds, 3-2 - Red Reporter
Yeah, I laughed at the headline.

Know Thy Enemy: 2012 Cincinnati Reds - DesigNate Robertson
Way late, but way necessary.

Votto, not Hamilton, is baseball's top hitter - ESPN, David Schoenfield
Ignore the hot zone maps because the caption makes no sense, but the rest of the article is pretty solid work.