clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Can anybody pitch the ninth inning?

New, comments

The Tigers allow a crazy amount of ninth inning runs, but are improving

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Tigers' world is burning and Joe Nathan is under attack. The ninth inning is one disaster after another. Joel Hanrahan was signed mid-season, but is recovering from Tommy John surgery too slowly. Joakim Soria was acquired as an option, and promptly hit the disabled list. Jim Johnson was signed after being designated for assignment, but is reluctant to join the fray. Joba Chamberlain was summoned last week for the ninth inning in Toronto and promptly blew the save. The superstitious might suggest trying someone whose first name begins with something other than the letter ‘J'.

Is the criticism of the Tigers' inability to pitch a ninth inning fair? Here are how the other American League Central Division teams fare, inning by inning.

Al_central_9raConveniently teams average half a run an inning, or 0.49 runs to be precise. The ninth inning does not stand out, with .50 runs allowed per inning. The fifth inning is interesting, suggesting that starters are tiring and not being pulled soon enough, but that is for another day.

But what about our Tigers?

Tigers_9ra

The ninth inning problem is real. Not only is it the worst inning for the Tigers, at .72 runs per inning, it is worse than any inning of any divisional rival. The White Sox have a tough time in the eighth inning at .68 runs, and the ninth is not much of an improvement at .66 runs.

There is good news. When we last looked at this in early June, the Tigers were allowing an unsustainable .90 runs per ninth inning. The timing conveniently splits into 50 inning groups. And since early June, the Tigers have allowed a nearly-normal .53 runs per ninth inning.

For the record, here are the culprits and their ninth inning ERAs:

Player 9th inning ERA
Anibal Sanchez 27.00
Phil Coke 10.24
Al Alburquerque 7.11
Joba Chamberlain 5.79
Joe Nathan 5.36
Ian Krol 4.91
Evan Reed 1.80
Blaine Hardy 0.00
Max Scherzer 0.00
Rick Porcello 0.00
David Price 0.00

Based on an incredibly small sample size, and assuming the starters are out of the question, I vote for Blaine Hardy for closer.