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Our favorite "voice of summer" on the Tigers Radio Network, Dan Dickerson, stopped in on Twitter to make a few comments about the signing of Jordan Zimmermann. For those not familiar with Dickerson: first of all, you're doing everything wrong and you should question your life choices up to this point. Second, Dickerson is a long-time student and lover of advanced metrics, and regularly peppers his play-by-play breaks with stats and facts about strikeout-to-walk ratios, WAR, defensive runs saved, ballpark factors, home and road splits, FIP, and other such goodies.
In short, when Dan Dickerson registers his opinion on a free agent signing like this and uses sabermetrics, it's probably a good idea to take notes.
Here are the highlights:
- Zimmermann has a career average of 32 starts per year in four full seasons since his Tommy John surgery in 2009
- Over the last five years, Zimmermann has a 3.14 ERA with BB/9 of 1.7 and a K/9 of 7.3
- Although Zimmermann posted a career-high 3.66 ERA in 2015, he kept his walk rate low
- His strikeout numbers were down in 2015 compared to the year before, but were still "right at career rate"
- Zimmermann gave up 24 home runs in 2015, another career high, but over the past four seasons has averaged 17 home runs per year
- Despite all the home runs in 2015, his extra-base numbers went down to a career-low 25 percent
- "The thing you really like – he’s a strike-thrower. And guys who throw a ton of strikes tend to have success – and consistency year to year."
- Zimmermann's strike-throwing percent in 2015 was 68%, which puts him in the top 15 starters in baseball, a list that included "Scherzer, deGrom, Price, Lackey, Sale, Harvey and Kershaw"
- "The collective ERA of the top 15 strike throwers in the [majors] was 3.23, which just happens to be the same as Zimmermann's career ERA"
- Addressing the concern that "many believe the shelf life of the [Tommy John] repaired elbow is roughly 7-8 yrs," Dickerson noted that "the guy the surgery was named after pitched 14 yrs/2500 innings AFTER his surgery."
- Additionally, "other pitchers who've pitched a long time after [Tommy John] surgery - AJ Burnett (12 yrs/2200IP), and David Wells (23 years - had surgery in [the minors])"
When your team's play-by-play announcer goes hunting for stats on Baseball Reference, it's a good thing.
Here is a list of the top 15 starting pitchers in 2015 (ERA-title qualified only) by strike-throwing percentage, courtesy of Baseball Reference.
Rk | Player | Str% | Year | Age | Tm | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | ERA+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Max Scherzer | 71% | 2015 | 30 | WSN | 33 | 228.2 | 2.79 | 2.77 | 143 |
2 | Bartolo Colon | 70% | 2015 | 42 | NYM | 31 | 194.2 | 4.16 | 3.84 | 89 |
3 | David Price | 69% | 2015 | 29 | TOT | 32 | 220.1 | 2.45 | 2.78 | 161 |
4 | Matt Harvey | 68% | 2015 | 26 | NYM | 29 | 189.1 | 2.71 | 3.05 | 136 |
5 | Clayton Kershaw | 68% | 2015 | 27 | LAD | 33 | 232.2 | 2.13 | 1.99 | 175 |
6 | John Lackey | 68% | 2015 | 36 | STL | 33 | 218.0 | 2.77 | 3.57 | 142 |
7 | Jacob deGrom | 68% | 2015 | 27 | NYM | 30 | 191.0 | 2.54 | 2.70 | 145 |
8 | Wei-Yin Chen | 68% | 2015 | 29 | BAL | 31 | 191.1 | 3.34 | 4.16 | 124 |
9 | Corey Kluber | 68% | 2015 | 29 | CLE | 32 | 222.0 | 3.49 | 2.97 | 122 |
10 | Jordan Zimmermann | 68% | 2015 | 29 | WSN | 33 | 201.2 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 109 |
11 | Carlos Carrasco | 68% | 2015 | 28 | CLE | 30 | 183.2 | 3.63 | 2.84 | 118 |
12 | Chris Sale | 68% | 2015 | 26 | CHW | 31 | 208.2 | 3.41 | 2.73 | 114 |
13 | Jeff Samardzija | 67% | 2015 | 30 | CHW | 32 | 214.0 | 4.96 | 4.23 | 79 |
14 | Madison Bumgarner | 67% | 2015 | 25 | SFG | 32 | 218.1 | 2.93 | 2.87 | 129 |
15 | Mike Leake | 66% | 2015 | 27 | TOT | 30 | 192.0 | 3.70 | 4.20 | 106 |