clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Game 83 Preview: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians

New, 90 comments

Daniel Norris and the Tigers aim for their seventh consecutive win against Danny Salazar and the first-place Indians.

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Tigers (44-38) at Cleveland Indians (49-32)

Time/Place: 7:10 p.m., Progressive Field
SB Nation blog: Let's Go Tribe
Media: Fox Sports Detroit, ESPN, MLB.TVTigers Radio Network
Pitching Matchup: LHP Daniel Norris (1-0, 4.09 ERA) vs. RHP Danny Salazar (10-3, 2.22 ERA)

Pitcher IP K% BB% FIP fWAR
Norris 11.0 26.5 4.1 4.90 0.1
Salazar 93.1 28.5 11.5 3.13 2.4

The last time the Tigers faced Danny Salazar, they handed him his third-worst start of the season according to Bill James' Game Score. The bad news? Salazar only gave up three runs in 5 2/3 innings after being staked to an early 7-0 lead. Wacky ending aside, the win was Salazar's ninth of the season. He picked up a 10th 'W' in his last start, throwing eight shutout innings against the Atlanta Braves. Unless he fully implodes over his next two starts -- I wouldn't be opposed to this -- he should garner some serious All-Star attention after an excellent first half.

Prior to that start in Detroit two weeks ago, I pointed out that a few of Salazar's splits were working in the Tigers' favor. He is still allowing righties to post an OPS over 100 points higher than lefties, but his numbers at home are much stronger than those away from Progressive Field. In six home starts this season, Salazar has limited opponents to a 1.69 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. His 7.9 percent walk rate at home is much more manageable than the 14.3 percent rate he has in away games.

Tigers hitter to fear: James McCann (.500/.538/.667 in 13 plate appearances)
Tigers hitter to fail: Jose Iglesias (.200/.273/.200 in 11 plate appearances)

Outlook

The Indians' lineup has been one of the most versatile in all of baseball over the past few years, creating a platoon advantage over 70 percent of the time in each of the past five seasons. This has generally resulted in fairly even splits against right- and left-handed pitching. However, this year's Tribe team has struggled against lefties, batting just .263/.315/.395. This translates to an 89 wRC+, the eighth-lowest figure in all of baseball. Daniel Norris hasn't been the sharpest we've seen over his first two major league starts this year, but this matchup is much more favorable than what he has seen previously.

Of course, the Tigers still need to find a way to score against Salazar.

Prediction

The win streak ends at six.

★★★

Editor's Note: New players win cash in their first daily fantasy league or get their entry fee refunded! Offered in SB Nation's partnership with FanDuel, your hub for daily fantasy baseball and more.