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Let’s talk about some Tigers prospect rankings

Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus have both released their annual top 10 lists in recent weeks.

St Louis Cardinals v Detroit Tigers Photo by Mark Cunningham/MLB photos via Getty Images

We are still just over a month away from spring training, but baseball fever is already in the air. Our staff here at Bless You Boys has been hard at work with our coverage of the Detroit Tigers’ farm system, starting with our annual top 30 prospects list.

As happens this time of year, national publications have started to release their organizational lists as well. Baseball America kicked things off earlier this month with their top 10 list, one that largely lacked the occasional surprise we have seen from them in the past. Baseball Prospectus followed on Wednesday with a list of their own, one that got a bit more interesting outside the top 10.

Rather than discuss each list individually, we figured we would change things up a bit this year and unpack both lists at once. We’ll also throw in the top 50 (!) lists from both Prospects1500 and our friend Kenon Carter, because anyone crazy enough to create a list that long deserves a mention.

2020 Detroit Tigers top 10 prospects

Rank Baseball America Baseball Prospectus Prospects1500 DTMLT BYB
Rank Baseball America Baseball Prospectus Prospects1500 DTMLT BYB
1 Casey Mize Casey Mize Casey Mize Matt Manning Casey Mize
2 Matt Manning Matt Manning Matt Manning Riley Greene Matt Manning
3 Tarik Skubal Riley Greene Riley Greene Casey Mize Riley Greene
4 Riley Greene Tarik Skubal Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes Tarik Skubal
5 Isaac Paredes Joey Wentz Tarik Skubal Tarik Skubal Isaac Paredes
6 Alex Faedo Isaac Paredes Daz Cameron Daz Cameron Joey Wentz
7 Daz Cameron Alex Faedo Parker Meadows Alex Faedo Daz Cameron
8 Franklin Perez Daz Cameron Alex Faedo Joey Wentz Jake Rogers
9 Willi Castro Beau Burrows Willi Castro Jake Rogers Alex Faedo
10 Jake Rogers Parker Meadows Joey Wentz Beau Burrows Willi Castro

As mentioned, there aren’t many surprises to be found among these respective top 10 lists, save for maybe Kenon’s preference for Matt Manning and Riley Greene ahead of consensus top prospect Casey Mize. The Manning hype train has been rolling for a while now, and Mize’s injury concerns are a legitimate concern, perhaps the only one remaining for the polished righthander. Lefthander Tarik Skubal is a consensus top five prospect in the system now, while Isaac Paredes generally rounded out everyone’s top five. There are a few differences here and there — lefthander Joey Wentz appears as high as fifth and as low as 10th — but for the most part, everyone appears to agree on who the Tigers’ top 10 or 11 prospects are.

After that, things get a little more interesting. Baseball Prospectus stuck a couple of names on their list that we didn’t even have in our top 30, while a couple of players that were higher up on our rankings fell a bit lower than expected on the top-50 lists.

2020 Tigers prospect rankings: 11-20

Rank Baseball Prospectus Prospects1500 DTMLT BYB
Rank Baseball Prospectus Prospects1500 DTMLT BYB
11 Jake Rogers Jake Rogers Nick Quintana Parker Meadows
12 Wilkel Hernandez Franklin Perez Adinso Reyes Beau Burrows
13 Logan Shore Anthony Castro Roberto Campos Wenceel Perez
14 Kyle Funkhouser Beau Burrows Jose de la Cruz Kyle Funkhouser
15 Franklin Perez Nick Quintana Bryant Packard Nick Quintana
16 Paul Richan Wenceel Perez Parker Meadows Kody Clemens
17 Nick Quintana Kody Clemens Kody Clemens Andre Lipcius
18 Derek Hill Andre Lipcius Anthony Castro Bryant Packard
19 Jose Azocar Bryant Packard Derek Hill Elvin Rodriguez
20 Anthony Castro Kyle Funkhouser Wenceel Perez Derek Hill

Righthander Wilkel Hernandez, who just appeared at No. 28 on our rankings, is 12th on Baseball Prospectus’ list thanks to “an ideal starter’s frame, long and lean, with plenty of projection left.” Paul Richan finished just outside our top 20, and didn’t even make the top 30 on the other two lists. Logan Shore hasn’t appeared on anyone else’s radar so far either, but BP noted that he “offers an effective sinker either side of 90, a potential above-average change, and a potentially average slider.”

The other two lists are fairly similar to what BYB produced, save for Kenon’s run on teenage international prospects from 12 to 14. All three have massive potential, but are still very risky because they are so young. Campos didn’t make our top 30 list, but landed at No. 25 at Prospects1500.

We won’t go through the remainder of the big lists in painstaking detail, as ranking players from the 20s onward gets to be very difficult. We spent most of our time debating the final 10 or so players on our rankings, in large part because most of these players have similar fringe-average grades and projections to their respective names. There will almost certainly be a breakout or two from there — stay tuned for our under-the-radar prospects list coming soon! — but any wild differences in ranking should be taken with a grain of salt.

That said, what do you think? Were any of these lists far too high or low on a certain player?